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Friday, October 28, 2016
- On the evening of March 4, heavily armed police forced their way into the headquarters of the Turkish daily Zaman. The hundreds of protesters that had gathered in front of the building in an Istanbul suburb in solidarity with their newspaper were violently dispersed.
The takeover of the Feza media group – consisting of Zaman, the English-language Daily Zaman and Cihan news agency – was ordered by a local Istanbul court, and according to the Turkish Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoğlu this decision wasn’t in the slightest politically motivated. “This is an entirely legal process. No one should have any doubts regarding press freedom in Turkey,” the Prime Minister claimed in a televised live interview on Sunday.
In spite of Davutoğlu’s claims to the contrary, few observers nourish any doubts that the takeover of Zaman was a political manoeuvre by the ruling AKP, with the intention to silence one of the most vocal and influential newspapers in the country. With a circulation of about 650,000, Zaman was Turkey’s biggest newspaper. This, in combination with the newspaper’s close ties with the Gülen movement – a former close ally and current enemy of the AKP – made it a potential threat to the government.
Obsessed with power
The government takeover of Turkey’s largest newspaper comes at a critical time. A violent conflict that has already cost hundreds of civilian lives rages on in the country’s east. Millions of refugees from the war in neighboring Syria have crossed the border into Turkey – many of them waiting for an opportunity to move on to Europe, whether legally or illegally.
Mustafa Edib Yilmaz, the foreign editor of Zaman, sees three possible reasons why the AKP-led government decided to take action now: internal disputes within the party, the international community’s reliance on Turkey in stemming the flow of refugees into Europe and the fight against the so-called Islamic State, and the possibility of an upcoming referendum on the shift to a presidential system.
The AKP under the leadership of President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan stands at a crossroads and is seeking to consolidate power. Faced with opposition against his increasingly authoritarian rule of both his party and the country as a whole, Erdoğan has resorted to ever more extreme measures to safeguard his position at the helm.
“If you have been clinging on to power for so long, uncontested, unchallenged, you might be too much obsessed – maybe – with the power you have so you cannot tolerate losing it,” suggests Yilmaz.
Dani Rodrik, a Turkish economist and Ford Foundation Professor of International Political Economy at Harvard University thinks Erdoğan cares very little about a possible international backlash against the AKP’s rule as a result of its controversial politics.
“He and the people around him think they hold all the important cards in their dealings with Europe and the US and that they can do whatever they please domestically without paying a price,” Rodrik comments. “The muted statements that have come out of the EU following the takeover of Zaman suggests they are not too wrong.”
Democracy in decline
The takeover of the Feza media group is just the latest in a series of crackdowns on press freedom in Turkey, which currently ranks 149 out of 180 countries in the World Press Freedom Index.
Just one week before the police raid of the Zaman offices, the satellite broadcast of the Istanbul-based IMC TV was pulled off the air at the request of an Ankara prosecutor on allegations of “making terrorist propaganda”. IMC TV was known for its extensive coverage of the conflict in the east. On January 20, the channel acquired international fame when the army shot one of its cameraman, Refik Tekin, in the leg while he was filming in the besieged town of Cizre.
The channel was blacked-out in the middle of a live interview with Can Dündar and Erdem Gül, two editors of the Turkish daily Cumhuriyet who had just been released after spending 92 days in pre-trial detention. Dündar and Gül had been released after the country’s Constitutional Court ruled their imprisonment illegal. The two journalists still face trial and could potentially be sentenced to life in prison for exposing the Turkish government’s covert arms shipments to Syrian rebels.
But, controversial as these two examples might be, to Dani Rodrik this is nothing new: “The state of democracy and rule of law have been in decline in Turkey since mid-2005, and those who didn’t notice it must not have been paying much attention.”
The crisis around the corner
Foreign editor Yilmaz holds a very pessimistic view of what’s more to come, both for his newspaper and for his country. In the days after the takeover, Zaman’s circulation dropped to a mere 4,000. He expects this number to drop even further in the next few months: “because there’s no demand for a pro-government Zaman, there’s only demand for a critical Zaman.”
He foresees that the newspaper will go bankrupt and will eventually have to be shut down, just like the Bugün and Millet newspapers that were both taken over in a similar fashion and turned into government mouthpieces in October last year.
Putting all the pieces together – the conflict in the east, the war next door in Syria, the poor relations with Russia, the refugee crisis, the crackdown on the press and the ongoing political crisis – Yilmaz thinks Turkey is “on the edge of a big disaster.”
Rodrik has been expecting Turkey’s demise for several years already, arguing that “the only question about Turkey’s future was whether it was the domestic politics, foreign policy, or economics that would implode first.”
“The debacles on the domestic and foreign policy fronts have already taken place. But so far there has not been a large-scale economic denouement,” he concludes, adding that an economic crisis might loom just around the corner. “When that happens, Erdoğan will likely respond the only way he knows how – which is to polarise the country and exacerbate its divisions further.”