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IRAQ: Israel Perhaps the Major Beneficiary of U.S.-led Invasion
Analysis - By N Janardhan

DUBAI, Apr 23 (IPS) - It is the U.S.-led forces that occupy Iraq after invading it more than a month ago, but the biggest beneficiary of Gulf War III - without firing a bullet - is Israel, say Middle East analysts.

Notwithstanding the political and economic interests that the United States had in targeting Iraq, says Umaimmah al-Jalahmmah, "the Jews were the driving force behind the war, with powerful pro-Israel lobbies in Washington seeking the destruction of one of the main threats to the Jewish state."

Al-Jalahmmah is professor of Islamic studies at King Faisal University in Saudi Arabia.

PV Vivekanand, chief editor of 'The Gulf Today' newspaper, agrees when he speaks of "the marriage between the Jewish lobby in the United States and the symbols of Christian extremism in Washington."

The two Middle East specialists see themselves vindicated by the views expressed in the now-famous white paper written in 1996 for the then Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu - titled 'A Clean Break: A New Strategy for Securing the Realm' - in the context of the Palestinian-Israeli peace talks.

The premise, which targets the Palestinian struggle for freedom, gains credibility because most of the authors were affiliated to pro-Israeli organisations. Some of them hold or held influential posts in the Bush administration. Prominent among them was the Pentagon Defence Policy Board member Richard Perle.

Another author Douglas Feith, who is presently undersecretary of defence and policy adviser at the Pentagon, is a member of the Zionist Organisation of America.

In a press statement on April 9, the organization underlined its utter aversion to Bush's 'Road Map' for peace in the Middle East. This is "a road map to disaster," it said, that would "create a Palestinian Arab terrorist state that will endanger Israel and undermine America's war against terrorism."

The white paper published by Israel's Institute for Advanced Strategic and Political Studies laid out ideas for remodelling the region starting with Iraq. "Israel can shape its strategic environment, in co-operation with Turkey and Jordan, by weakening, containing, and even rolling back Syria," it said.

More importantly, it added: "This effort can focus on removing Saddam Hussein from power in Iraq, an important Israeli strategic objective in its own right, as a means of foiling Syria's regional ambitions."

Thus, Iraq and Saddam were important in the reformulation of the Middle East that "dispenses with the idea of a comprehensive peace and focuses on balance of power", presumably for the maintenance of Israeli dominance in the region, says Vivekanand, a specialist on the Palestinian-Israeli conflict.

He says that the pro-Israeli lobby had succeeded in influencing Washington's decision to invade Iraq. After all, the Jewish community in the United States exercised enormous influence on U.S. politics through its substantial funding of election campaigns.

The Jews in the United States account for more than half of the major donors to the Democratic Party and, in recent years, between 20 to 30 per cent of major donors to the Republican Party.

According to the 'Washington Report on Middle East Affairs', the total contributions to the Congressional candidates by pro-Israel lobby groups between 1978 and 2000 amounted to about 34 million dollars. Only the gun lobby groups fared better.

Among the chief lobbying organisations in the United States is the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC), which is credited with the rise and fall of many U.S. politicians, and a lesser known, but equally significant B'nai B'rith.

One of the oft-cited examples of AIPAC's clout is George Bush senior losing his bid for a second term as U.S. president to Bill Clinton in 1992: The reason: Bush pushed ahead with the Middle East peace process ignoring the Jewish opposition and threatening to hold back a 13 billion dollars guarantee that would have provided Israel with funds for the expansion of settlements.

If the 'Clean Break' notion put forward theoretical considerations, there were ground realities that made Iraq look ominous for Israel.

A nuclear Iraq was perceived as a potential threat to Israel. Saddam Hussein's financial and vocal support to the Palestinian 'intifadah' or uprising and the firing of Scud missiles into Israel during the 1991 Gulf War were serious concerns. A U.S.-led war against Iraq was seen as an ideal way to dispel those fears.

Adding perspective to that theory were scholars who delivered lectures last month at the UAE-based Zayed Centre for Coordination and Follow-up.

Editor of 'The International Politics' journal Ahmed Yousef Al Qurae focussed on the Israeli military campaigns in the occupied Palestinian territories that resulted in the death of over 100 Palestinians in one month.

Prime Minister Ariel Sharon "achieved in the last four weeks more than what the Jewish state achieved in the last four months, exploiting the world's pre-occupation with Iraq," he said.

According to Gad Taha, former dean of Faculty of Arts, Ain Shams University in Egypt, the "strategic alliance between Israel and the United States could now turn into a tactical alliance to embody and translate into reality the goals of Zionism to dominate the Palestinian territories and to transfer Palestinian refugees to northern Iraq."

Egypt's 'Al Ahram' political analyst Mohamed Sid-Ahmed expanded on the notion of 'Right of Return' of about four million Palestinian refugees, a key condition for the settlement of the Arab-Israeli conflict.

"Iraq will be used to solve this problem," he said, adding: "The 'Law of Right of Return' can be made redundant by getting the Palestinians into Iraq instead of Palestine," a possibility that was discussed even during the 1991 Gulf War and ahead of the 1993 Oslo agreement.

Sid-Ahmed also referred to the "Transfer Solution, wherein large numbers of Palestinians could be transferred from Gaza and the West Bank to Iraqi territory to reduce numbers within Palestinian areas," thereby easing the security threat to Israel arising from demographic pressure.

Such had been the pressure from Israel on the United States that earlier this year, when diplomacy seemed to delay action against Iraq, Israelis unleashed their best lobbying campaign.

Former Israeli ambassador to Washington Zelman Shuval's article in the Hebrew newspaper 'Yediot Ahronot' stressed that Israel should make "behind the scenes" effort to get the U.S. administration to attack Iraq "sooner rather than later". Postponing, delaying or cancelling the war, he asserted, would create "very negative consequences" for Israel.

"The U.S. pressure on Syria and Iran was also at the instance of Israel," says Vivekanand.

He adds: "Syria supports Palestinian resistance groups in its territory and Iran in Lebanon, those that stage armed attacks against Israeli targets. The Israeli argument is that Syria wants to keep a front alive with the Jewish state so that the outstanding dispute over Israel's occupation of Syria's Golan Heights does not get pushed back into regional priorities."

After the successful military campaign in Iraq, Washington sought "to kill two more birds with the same stone", he added. "Israel has for long pressured the United States to act against Syria or risk Tel Aviv taking matters into its own hands. Fearing that any Israeli action will result in another full-fledged Arab-Israeli conflict, Washington has kept Tel Aviv from acting on its own till now."

However, Kuwaiti political analyst Ali Jaber al-Sabah disagrees. "To subscribe to this conspiracy theory is to belittle the United States," he says. "Saddam was certainly a threat to Iraq's neighbours, including Israel. In the short term, Israel will feel secure without him. In the long term, however, Iraqis will be so economically and politically mobilised that any U.S.-Israeli manipulation will face more formidable resistance than the one under Saddam." (END/2003)

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