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DEVELOPMENT-THAILAND: Energy Saving Measures to Cramp Lifestyles
By Marwaan Macan-Markar

BANGKOK, Aug 31, 2004 (IPS) - Thailand's energy-conservation scheme, due to start in September amid rising oil prices, will run right into this country's love affair with cars.

After all, some middle and upper-middle class homes in Bangkok revel in having a car per adult family member.

This is just one of the many conservation measures the government of Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra is planning, including shortening the operating hours of department stores and complexes to petrol stations.

But the government's order for petrol stations across the country to close from 12 midnight till dawn will not make a dent in the ballooning fuel bill in the capital, since the public transport system is weak, say analysts.

But as the country debates how best to respond to the rising price of oil on the international market, there is little disagreement about one glaring reality - the vulnerability of this South-east Asian country to skyrocketing oil prices, which has come close to reaching 50 U.S. dollars a barrel.

Ninety-five percent of the country's petroleum needs is met by imports and a bulk of it is poured into the transportation sector. Natural gas, coal and hydropower are the batteries that supply energy to the industrial sector and households.

''We are paying the price for our American lifestyle, the obsession with cars and road transport,'' Suphakij Nuntavorkan, of the non-governmental Sustainable Energy Network of Thailand, said in an interview.

There has been little effort to develop an alternative transportation blueprint, he added. ''The direction of development is weighted in favour of roads, not rail, which is far more cheaper and less damaging on the environment.''

''There will be little energy saved when the government's programme is implemented,'' Chuenchom Sangarasri Greacen, an independent energy analyst, told IPS.

That stems from the government's reluctance to consider a key energy-saving option - floating the price of petrol in the domestic market. ''If you want people to save energy, you should increase the price of oil,'' Chuenchom added, saying that keeping prices artificially low does not encourage the wise use of petrol.

There is little mystery why the administration of Prime Minister Thaksin wants to stick to subsidising oil prices and shielding the domestic market from price rises owing to changes in the international market - a general election is a few months away.

Bangkok's oil subsidy - capping the price of diesel, for instance, to 25 percent lower than the market rate - is costing the country 250 million baht (6.25 million U.S. dollars) per day, and the annual gas subsidy bill is expected to reach 70 billion baht (1.68 billion dollars).

The trap Thailand finds itself in due to rising global oil prices is made worse by Bangkok's much heralded plans to convert this country into the centre of car production in Asia - or to be known as the 'Detroit of Asia'.

This vision includes having the domestic factories of foreign car makers roll out one million cars from their production lines annually, a figure that is expected to be crossed by 2005.

In 2003, according to available reports, Thailand produced 750,000 new cars, of which 600,000 rolled on to the streets of the country, while the rest were exported.

Currently, Bangkok alone has an estimated 5.5 million vehicles that clog the network of roads in this capital of more than 6 million people.

And to ensure there are more roads for the cars to drive along, the government has pledged to pump 400 billion baht (9.6 billion dollars) to build new roads.

Little wonder why analysts like Chuenchom are dismissing the government's hope of saving energy through the other elements of the new conservation programme ordering, shopping malls and hypermarkets to close earlier to reduce power consumption.

''The energy that will be saved is natural gas and coal, which are used to generate power to meet the country's demands at night,'' she said. ''Oil is not a factor during these hours.''

Under the energy-saving measure approved by the cabinet, department stores can stay open from 11 a.m. to 9 p.m., shaving off an hour from the start and end of the day.

But such adjustments will have little impact on the tourism sector, say analysts, given the initial fear that the government's plans may dampen the flow of cash coming from the lucrative tourism sector. More than 10 million tourists come to Thailand each year.

''The department stores are an important part of the shopping experience for tourists, but not the only ones. Tourists go to many other places for bargains, to the shops in areas like Pratunam (a bargain shopping area),'' Imtiaz Muqbil, executive editor of the 'Travel Impact Newswire,' said in an interview.

''I don't think tourists will stop coming due to these new measures,'' he added. ''The tourism sector has little to fear.''

The country's energy minister, however, has set his sights on the new business hours for the country to make savings. The government expects annual savings of up to 3.8 billion baht (91.7 million dollars) due to the shorter hours for large retail outlets, Energy Minister Prommin Lertsuridej told the media. (END)

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