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EUROPE: Croatia on Uncertain Course for EU Membership
By Cillian Donnelly
BRUSSELS, Jul 3 (IPS) - The Swedish government, which now holds the rotating presidency of the
European Union for the second half of this year, says plans to bring Croatia into
the EU have not been derailed despite recent political events in the country.
Croatia is officially set to join the Union as its 28th member in 2011.
The re-emergence of a border dispute with neighbour Slovenia, an EU
member country, and the sudden resignation of prime minister Ivo Sanader
Jul. 1 has led to some speculation that Croatia's ambitions will have to be put
on hold.
Sanader gave no reasons for his departure, but denies he harbours ambitions
for any EU job, or that his resignation has anything to do with accession
negotiations.
A spokesperson for the Swedish government told IPS that no single person
can bring the collapse of a complicated process. "There is a consolidated
position in (Croatian capital) Zagreb," the spokesperson said. "Not even the
opposition opposes joining the EU."
The Swedish presidency, he said, is "absolutely pro-enlargement". A Croatian
diplomat said the Swedes were "keen" to get Croatia, as well as Turkey, into
the Union.
But despite this public optimism, some doubts about Croatian accession
linger behind the scenes. At an internal meeting Wednesday between the
European Commission's Enlargement section and the Swedish government,
held just hours before the resignation of Sanader, direct references to Croatia
were omitted, with the meeting concentrating instead on Turkey.
The process of enlargement, which Sweden has made one of its priorities, is a
complicated one. An aspiring member has to carry out a number of political
reforms, such as those of its judiciary, policing and social policy, and, more
controversially, demonstrate that it wishes to become a "market-based
economy".
Once a country does all this, it becomes a 'candidate country', and more
detailed negotiations for membership can begin. New membership may be
blocked by any one member state.
Both Croatia and Turkey have made swift progress in their negotiations with
the European Commission, but both fall foul of one accession condition -
that no two EU member states can be in dispute on borders or similar issues.
Turkey refuses to recognise the independence of a united Cyprus; Croatia has
been in an 18-year-long dispute with Slovenia over a section of the coastline
both countries claim as their own.
In December 2008, the Slovene government raised several objections. Last
month Enlargement Commissioner Olli Rehn attempted to re-start
negotiations, only for the talks to break down once more over the border
issue, leading to the speculation that Croatia's chances of becoming a
member by 2011 were all but off.
A diplomat who has worked on the Croatian accession negotiations told IPS
that as long as Slovenia remains inflexible, the Swedes have an uphill battle in
moving things swiftly along.
"On the technical side, Croatia has made good progress, but the bad news is
that the formal opening and closing of chapters (of an agreement) has been
hampered by this Slovenia dispute. The Swedes are pro-enlargement, and
keen to get both Croatia and Turkey in, but it seems to me that there is barely
a single chapter that can be worked on right now.
"I believe a whole bunch of chapters could be closed tomorrow with the right
kind of political will. But it seems we have just too little to work with right
now." (END/2009)
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