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	<title>Inter Press ServiceStephen Zunes - Author - Inter Press Service</title>
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		<title>Pompeo’s Iran Speech a Prelude to War?</title>
		<link>https://www.ipsnews.net/2018/05/pompeos-iran-speech-prelude-war/</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 25 May 2018 13:33:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Stephen Zunes</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ipsnews.net/?p=155929</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<em><strong>Stephen Zunes</strong> is a professor of politics and coordinator of Middle Eastern Studies at the University of San Francisco. </em>]]></description>
		
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><font color="#999999"><img width="300" height="200" src="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2018/05/Stephen-Zunes_-300x200.jpg" class="attachment-medium size-medium wp-post-image" alt="" decoding="async" fetchpriority="high" srcset="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2018/05/Stephen-Zunes_-300x200.jpg 300w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2018/05/Stephen-Zunes_-629x420.jpg 629w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2018/05/Stephen-Zunes_.jpg 630w" sizes="(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" /></font></p><p>By Stephen Zunes<br />SAN FRANCISCO, May 25 2018 (IPS) </p><p>The United States Secretary of State Mike Pompeo’s <a href="https://www.state.gov/secretary/remarks/2018/05/282301.htm" rel="noopener" target="_blank">speech</a> this past Monday targeting Iran may have created a new benchmark for hypocritical, arrogant, and entitled demands by the United States on foreign governments.<br />
<span id="more-155929"></span></p>
<p>The speech included gross misstatements regarding the seven-nation Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action on Iran’s nuclear program, which Trump Administration unilaterally abrogated earlier this month.</p>
<p>More critically, it promised to impose “the strongest sanctions in history” against Iran, including secondary sanctions against governments and private companies which refuse to back the U.S. agenda, unless Iran changed a series of internal and regional policies. With the re-imposition of such sanctions, Iran will no longer have any incentive to stick to its part of the nuclear deal.</p>
<p>Most of the Iranian policies cited by Pompeo are indeed problematic, yet are hardly unique to that country. Furthermore, the failure to offer any kind of reciprocity effectively guarantees that the Islamic Republic will reject any changes in its policies.</p>
<p>For example, Pompeo demanded that Iran withdraw its troops from Syria—which are there at the request of the Syrian government—but made no demand that Turkish or Israeli forces withdraw their troops from Syrian territory. Nor did he offer to withdraw U.S. forces.</p>
<p>Pompeo similarly demanded an end to Iranian support for various militia groups in the region, without any reciprocal reduction of support for rebel groups by Turkey, Saudi Arabia, or the United States.</p>
<p>And Pompeo demanded that Iran cease providing missiles to Houthi rebels, who have fired them into Saudi Arabia in response to Saudi Arabia’s bombing campaign and siege of Yemen. There was no offer to end the U.S. policy of providing the bombs, missiles, jet fighters to Saudi and Emirati forces which have killed many thousands of Yemeni civilians.</p>
<p>Pompeo further demanded Iran provide “a full account of the prior military dimensions of its nuclear program,” despite the fact that this limited research effort ended more than fifteen years ago. Of course, there was no offer that the United States or its allies rein in their own nuclear programs. <a href="http://unscr.com/en/resolutions/doc/487" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Israel</a>, <a href="http://unscr.com/en/resolutions/doc/1172" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Pakistan</a>, and <a href="http://unscr.com/en/resolutions/doc/1172" rel="noopener" target="_blank">India</a> have never opened up their nuclear facilities to outside inspections, despite two U.N. Security Council resolutions calling on them to do so.</p>
<p>Though most arms control agreements have historically been based on some kind of tradeoff, Pompeo insists that Iran unilaterally cease its ballistic missile program while making no such demand of Israel, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Pakistan, or other allies in the region. Nor is there any offer to limit U.S. ballistic missiles, even though U.S. missiles are capable of striking Iran while no Iranian missiles have the capability of coming anywhere close to the United States.</p>
<p>And while Pompeo was right to criticize the Iranian regime’s corruption, economic mismanagement, and human rights abuses, he expressed no qualms about the even worse records of U.S. allies in the region</p>
<p>Perhaps the most hypocritical demand in Pompeo’s speech was that Iran “must respect the sovereignty of the Iraqi Government,” which the United States has repeatedly subverted for a decade and a half.</p>
<p>In fact, Iran is already in compliance to some of Pompeo’s other demands, such as stopping production of enriched uranium and allowing the International Atomic Energy Agency full access to its nuclear facilities. The Iran nuclear pact already limits Iranian stockpiles to an extremely low enrichment level of 3.67 percent, well below the 90 percent needed for weapons production, and guarantees extensive and intrusive inspections of all nuclear-related facilities.</p>
<p><strong>It’s not hard to imagine a scenario in which the Trump Administration claims the only recourse is war.</strong></p>
<p>No nation can be expected to comply with such unilateral demands, particularly coming from a country which is responsible for far more destabilizing policies, civilian deaths, and weapons proliferation in the region than is Iran. Pompeo made his demands knowing they would be rejected.</p>
<p>And that may be part of a deliberate strategy. It’s not hard to imagine a scenario in the not-too-distant future in which the Trump Administration claims that since “sanctions didn’t work,” the only recourse is war.</p>
		<p>Excerpt: </p><em><strong>Stephen Zunes</strong> is a professor of politics and coordinator of Middle Eastern Studies at the University of San Francisco. </em>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Trump’s Dangerous Abrogation of the Iran Deal</title>
		<link>https://www.ipsnews.net/2018/05/trumps-dangerous-abrogation-iran-deal/</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 11 May 2018 11:24:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Stephen Zunes</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ipsnews.net/?p=155724</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<em><strong>Stephen Zunes</strong> is a professor of politics and coordinator of Middle Eastern Studies at the University of San Francisco.</em>]]></description>
		
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><font color="#999999"><p class="wp-caption-text"><em><strong>Stephen Zunes</strong> is a professor of politics and coordinator of Middle Eastern Studies at the University of San Francisco.</em></p></font></p><p>By Stephen Zunes<br />SAN FRANCISCO, May 11 2018 (IPS) </p><p>The Trump Administration’s decision to pull the United States out of the <a href="https://www.state.gov/e/eb/tfs/spi/iran/jcpoa/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action</a>—the landmark nuclear agreement between Iran and the United Kingdom, France, Germany, Russia, China, and the United States—strikes a dangerous blow against arms control and international security and even more firmly establishes the United States as a rogue nation.<br />
<span id="more-155724"></span></p>
<p><div id="attachment_155723" style="width: 410px" class="wp-caption alignleft"><img decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-155723" src="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2018/05/meeting_.jpg" alt="" width="400" height="267" class="size-full wp-image-155723" srcset="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2018/05/meeting_.jpg 400w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2018/05/meeting_-300x200.jpg 300w" sizes="(max-width: 400px) 100vw, 400px" /><p id="caption-attachment-155723" class="wp-caption-text">The meeting for a Comprehensive agreement on the Iranian nuclear program in 2015. Attendees included John Kerry of the United States, Philip Hammond of the United Kingdom, Sergey Lavrov of Russia, Frank-Walter Steinmeier of Germany, Laurent Fabius of France, Wang Yi of China, Federica Mogherini of the European Union and Javad Zarif of Iran.</p></div>This is a victory for Iranian hardliners, who opposed the agreement. They argued against destroying billions of dollars’ worth of nuclear facilities and material in return for the lifting of debilitating sanctions, because the United States could not be trusted to lift the sanctions as promised. That, in the end, is exactly what happened.</p>
<p>Now Trump’s decision will make it virtually impossible for North Korea or any other country to trust the United States to keep its commitments and thereby sabotage future arms control negotiations.</p>
<p>The Iran pact is <a href="https://www.armscontrol.org/blog/2018-05-08/international-support-iran-nuclear-deal" rel="noopener" target="_blank">supported</a> by virtually every country in the world. The vast majority of those in the U.S. national security establishment, current and retired, have <a href="https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/tillersons-support-iran-deal-helped-fired-mattis-shares/story?id=53712207" rel="noopener" target="_blank">supported</a> it, as have the vast majority of nuclear scientists and policy experts. Even within Israel, there is <a href="https://www.newyorker.com/news/daily-comment/why-israeli-nuclear-experts-disagree-with-netanyahu-about-the-iran-deal" rel="noopener" target="_blank">strong support</a> among intelligence and defense officials.</p>
<p>Trump argued that the agreement did nothing to curb Iran’s intervention in Syria, Yemen, and elsewhere. But that was never its intention. Other such agreements seek to limit countries’ nuclear ambitions, not their broader geopolitical ambitions.</p>
<p>And Trump’s accusations of Iranian cheating are groundless. Indeed, his own CIA director and Director of National Intelligence have <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/netanyahu-s-info-iran-nukes-known-u-s-intelligence-years-n870456" rel="noopener" target="_blank">both</a> acknowledged in recent weeks that Iran is in full compliance with the agreement, as has the head of the International Atomic Energy Agency. </p>
<p>Accusations of Iranian cheating by the rightwing Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu last week referred back to Iran’s long-acknowledged cover-up of a nascent weapons program more than fifteen years ago. This is in <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/netanyahu-s-info-iran-nukes-known-u-s-intelligence-years-n870456" rel="noopener" target="_blank">no way</a> a new revelation, or relevant to the current agreement.</p>
<p>Similarly, Trump’s insistence that that the agreement is somehow advantageous to Iran and would allow it to develop nuclear weapons is completely ludicrous.</p>
<p>The agreement reduced Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile by 98 percent and restricts the level of enrichment to 3.67 percent. Given that an enrichment level of 90 percent is needed to build a nuclear bomb, this makes it impossible for Iran’s uranium to be weaponized.</p>
<p>Under the deal, Iran also <a href="https://www.forbes.com/sites/jamesconca/2016/01/14/iran-measures-up-to-the-nuclear-deal/#521968e11f1b" rel="noopener" target="_blank">reduced</a> its number of centrifuges to a little over 5,000, far below the number that would be needed to enrich uranium to anything close to that level. It prevented the commissioning of the Arak reactor, capable of producing plutonium, and restricts research and development activities in other facilities. </p>
<p>And it cut off all of Iran’s other potential pathways to obtaining a nuclear weapon.</p>
<p>In short, the pact makes it physically impossible for Iran to build a single atomic bomb.</p>
<p>In addition, the agreement imposes the one of the most rigorous inspection regimes in history. International inspectors monitor Iran’s nuclear program at every stage: uranium mining and milling, conversion, enrichment, fuel manufacturing, nuclear reactors, and spent fuel, as well as any site—military or civilian—they consider suspicious.</p>
<p>And if Iran were to violate any aspect of this agreement, sanctions would automatically snap back into place.</p>
<p>Historically, most agreements on nuclear weapons have required some sort of reciprocity. But none of Iran’s nuclear-armed neighbors—Israel, Pakistan or Israel—are required to eliminate or reduce their weapons or open their nuclear facilities to inspections, even though all three are currently violating U.N. Security Council resolutions regarding their nuclear programs. </p>
<p>And none of the other nuclear powers, including the United States, are required to reduce their arsenals, either. So, it is indeed, as Trump <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/trump-iran-nuclear-agreement-a-horrible-one-sided-deal-that-didnt-bring-peace-and-never-will/2018/05/08/de2cf724-52ec-11e8-a6d4-ca1d035642ce_story.html?noredirect=on&#038;utm_term=.cf590555eff2" rel="noopener" target="_blank">said</a>, a “one-sided deal”—against Iran.</p>
<p>Trump and his Republican backers have long opposed efforts to ease tensions between the United States and Iran—especially any effort that might undermine excuses for going to war against that oil-rich nation. Iran, shackled by the 2015 agreement, is no threat to the United States. </p>
<p>Iran’s support for extremist groups, its human rights violations, its backing of repressive allies, and its other violations of international norms—while certainly wrong—are no worse than those committed by key U.S. regional allies.</p>
<p>The “threat” from Iran is that it is a regional power that has dared to challenge the United States’ hegemonic ambitions in the greater Middle East. For advocates of “<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Full-spectrum_dominance" rel="noopener" target="_blank">full spectrum dominance</a>,” as first articulated by the administration of George W. Bush in 2002, any such efforts to undermine U.S. hegemony are simply unacceptable.</p>
<p>Now Trump is free to undercut the Iranian economy by resuming comprehensive U.S. sanctions and forcing companies in other countries to avoid doing business with Iran by threatening to deny them trade and investment opportunities with the United States.</p>
<p>Trump’s strategy appears to encourage the Iranians to resume their nuclear program in order to provoke a crisis that would give the United States an excuse to go to war.</p>
<p><em>Credit<a href="http://www.thoughtcatalog.com" rel="noopener" target="_blank"> www.thoughtcatalog.com</a></em></p>
		<p>Excerpt: </p><em><strong>Stephen Zunes</strong> is a professor of politics and coordinator of Middle Eastern Studies at the University of San Francisco.</em>]]></content:encoded>
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