Uniformed marines hand over UN and Turkmenistan flags to UN special representative on LLCDs Rabab Fatima and Turkmenistan's Foreign Minister Rashid Meredov during a flag lowering ceremony in Awaza. Credit: Kizito Makoye/IPS

By Kizito Makoye
AWAZA, Turkmenistan , Sep 16 2025 (IPS)

The theater of diplomacy can be more revealing than the speeches. Under a scorching Caspian sun in Awaza, two marines lowered their flags with the precision of a ballet. The green silk of Turkmenistan, folded into a neat bundle before the UN’s blue-and-gold standard, fluttered briefly and vanished into waiting hands.

Delegates squinted in the glare. A security guard, drained after days of marathon negotiations, whispered, “We made it.” The applause that followed carried an implicit bet that geography would no longer condemn 32 landlocked developing countries (LLDCs) to economic stagnation.

“This is not the end,” Rabab Fatima, the UN’s top envoy for LLDCs, told the assembled diplomats. “It is the beginning of a new chapter for the LLDCs. LLDCs may be landlocked, but they are not opportunity-locked.”

Her words capped four days of bargaining that produced the Awaza Political Declaration and a ten-year Programme of Action—promising structural economic transformation, regional integration, resilient infrastructure, climate adaptation, and the mobilization of financing partnerships. But whether these ambitions become asphalt, fiber-optic cable, and trade corridors depends on what happens next—starting with the LLDC Ministerial meeting on September 26, on the sidelines of the 80th UN General Assembly.

“For the first time, we have a programme of action for the LLDCs, which includes a dedicated priority area on climate action and disaster resilience,” Fatima said. “As we all know, digital technology is reshaping how the world learns, trades, governs and innovates. The Awaza Programme of Action puts digital transformation at its core through investment in science, technology and affordable infrastructure for e-learning, e-governance and e-commerce.”

The geography tax

Being landlocked remains one of development’s oldest handicaps. More than 600 million people live in LLDCs. Their exports must cross at least one international border—and often several—before reaching a port. Transport costs can be twice as high as those of coastal economies, eroding profit margins and discouraging investment.

Dean Mulozi, a delegate from Zambia, put it bluntly: “It’s not just that we’re far from the sea. It’s that the world’s arteries don’t reach us easily. We are always waiting—for fuel, fiber-optic cable, containers, investment.”

The Declaration seeks to unblock those arteries: freer transit, harmonized customs, integrated transport corridors, and digital transformation—policies designed to cut border delays, lower costs, and attract investors. For countries such as Rwanda and Burundi, this is not rhetoric. Rwandan coffee growers lose profits as trucks crawl over narrow mountain roads toward Tanzania’s Dar es Salaam port. Burundian tea producers navigate customs regimes that can turn a week’s delay into financial ruin.

Ambition Versus Reality

The Awaza Programme includes a proposed Infrastructure Investment Finance Facility, with a headline USD 10 billion commitment from the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank. In theory, this could carve reliable corridors linking East Africa’s heartlands to the African Continental Free Trade Area. In practice, similar pledges have evaporated in the past when political will or money ran dry.

Five priorities dominate the blueprint: doubling manufacturing output and services exports; deepening trade integration; building transport links; embedding climate resilience; and mobilizing partnerships with development banks and private investors. Fatima called it “a blueprint for action, not just words,” but the distance between the two is long.

Rwanda and Burundi: Land-Linked Potential

Consider Rwanda, which has embraced digital innovation and ranks among Africa’s top reformers in business climate. Yet moving a container from Kigali to Dar es Salaam costs more than shipping it from Dar es Salaam to Shanghai. Blockchain pilots between Rwanda and Uganda have already reduced border clearance times by 80 percent, but scaling such reforms requires regional cooperation—the very essence of Awaza’s call for “land-linked” thinking.

Burundi faces even starker challenges. Political instability has disrupted transit agreements with neighbors. Poor road maintenance and limited rail options mean Burundian manufacturers pay a hidden geography tax on every exported item. A coordinated East African transport corridor—funded under Awaza’s financing facility—could halve transit times and cut spoilage for perishable goods.

Testing the Promise Divine

The first test comes on September 26, when ministers meet on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly. They are expected to name national coordinators, align budgets, and press for LLDC concerns at COP30 and UNCTAD XVI. As Turkmenistan’s foreign minister, Rashid Meredov, warned, the network of coordinators will make or break implementation.

The Climate Conundrum

LLDCs are among the most exposed to climate shocks: droughts paralyze Sahelian farmers, cyclones sever southern Africa’s trade routes, and glacial melt threatens Central Asia’s water supplies. Rwanda and Burundi, reliant on rain-fed crops, can see a single flood wipe out a season’s earnings. Awaza’s plan for an LLDC Climate Negotiating Group aims to amplify their voice at global talks. Shared hydropower grids and renewable energy corridors, if built, could stabilize supply chains and keep factories running.

Digital Detours

Physical infrastructure is not the only hurdle. Maria Fernanda, a Bolivian tech entrepreneur, captured the digital struggle: “Sometimes it feels like the internet is slower here because it has to climb mountains like we do.” Fiber-optic networks and regional data hubs—central to the Awaza agenda—could level the digital playing field. Rwanda’s ambition to be East Africa’s data hub and Burundi’s expansion of mobile banking are previews of what “land-linked” economies could look like.

The Politics of Pipelines

Awaza was also about geopolitics. Turkmenistan used its role as host to burnish its neutrality and to tout hydrogen energy schemes, circular economy frameworks, and Caspian environmental projects. Landlocked development, it signaled, is not merely a technical problem but a diplomatic one. Transit states and inland economies must cooperate, not compete, over corridors and pipelines.

As one UN development official observed, “Land-linked flips the narrative: inland countries become bridges, not barriers. With AfCFTA, LLDCs can turn geography into a competitive edge—moving goods, services, and data faster and more affordably across Africa and beyond.”

Bringing Civil Society and Youth to the Table

One innovation at LLDC3 was the deliberate inclusion of youth and grassroots activists “not outside the halls, but right here in the meeting rooms.” This multistakeholder approach could ensure that local voices—such as Rwandan farmers’ cooperatives or Burundian women traders—shape the policies affecting them. But inclusion must be sustained beyond Awaza’s photo ops.

From Awaza to Action

The Ministerial meeting will likely spotlight three urgent tasks:

Operationalizing the Finance Facility—Without timely disbursements, promised corridors and digital highways will remain on paper.

Integrating LLDC Priorities into Global Agendas—Ensuring COP30 and UNCTAD XVI address LLDC vulnerabilities.

Ensuring Accountability and Transparency—Regular progress reports, perhaps modeled on climate COP stocktakes, could keep momentum alive.

Fatima’s closing words resonate: “Let us make the promise of ‘land-linked’ not only a phrase but a new way of life.”

A Fragile Opportunity

For Mazhar Amanbek, the Kazakh trucker whose apples rot at customs, and for Burkinabe grain shipper Mohamad Oumar, Awaza’s words must become tarmac and telecoms. For Rwandan cooperatives betting on premium coffee exports, or Burundian entrepreneurs seeking markets beyond their borders, the declaration could mean the difference between subsistence and prosperity.

The UN will be pressed to broker the deals and financing that can make LLDCs competitive. These inland nations are not short of resources or ambition—minerals, fertile soils, and human talent abound. The challenge is converting potential into prosperity.

As the blue UN flag was folded under the Caspian sky, the marines’ boots clicked on the promenade, and the heat bent the air into shimmering waves. Awaza’s delegates boarded planes carrying a slender sheaf of paper with an outsized ambition: to turn geography’s oldest curse into an engine of shared growth.

The world’s attention will now shift to New York, where LLDC ministers must prove Awaza was not a mirage. If they seize the moment, the next decade could see East African trucks rolling on new highways, fiber cables humming under deserts, and landlocked nations from Bolivia to Burundi trading on equal terms. If not, the folded flags of Awaza will join the archive of fine promises that melted under a scorching sun.

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UNDP Resident Representative in Ethiopia, Samuel Doe, addressing the media in Awaza, Turkmenistan, about the land-linked roadmap for Africa. Credit: Kizito Makoye/IPS

By Kizito Makoye
AWAZA, Turkmenistan, Aug 7 2025 (IPS)

Once relegated to the periphery of Africa’s economic map due to their lack of coastline, the continent’s landlocked developing countries (LLDCs) are now reframing their geographic constraints as gateways to opportunity.

At the Third United Nations Conference on Landlocked Developing Countries held this week in Awaza, Turkmenistan, the UN Development Programme (UNDP) launched a bold positioning paper calling for a narrative shift—from “landlocked” to “land-linked”.

“Land-linked flips the narrative: inland countries become bridges, not barriers,” said Samuel Doe, UNDP’s Resident Representative in Ethiopia. “With the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA), Landlocked Developing Countries (LLDCs) can turn geography into a competitive edge—moving goods, services, and data faster and more affordably across Africa and beyond.”

The strategy, which aligns with the Awaza Programme of Action (2024–2034) and the African Union’s Agenda 2063, advocates for transformative investments in connectivity, innovation, regional integration, and climate resilience—framing LLDCs as essential players in Africa’s socio-economic revival.

Turning Isolation into Centrality

Historically hampered by their remoteness from ports, Africa’s 16 LLDCs face high transportation costs, low trade volumes, and heavy reliance on primary commodity exports. However, that narrative is quickly evolving.

The UNDP report highlights key success stories:

• Rwanda’s Kigali Logistics Platform now acts as a regional trade hub, linking inland transport to ports in Kenya and Tanzania.
• Uganda’s Standard Gauge Railway and revamped Malaba–Kampala corridor are repositioning the country as East Africa’s inland logistics centre.
• Ethiopia, long without direct access to the sea, has capitalised on its modern air transport system and the Ethio-Djibouti Railway to cut freight times from 72 to just 12 hours.

“As we gather here in Awaza, we stand at a pivotal moment,” said Doe. “Africa’s LLDCs are becoming dynamic land-linked economies at the heart of the continent’s socio-economic resurgence.”

Between 2013 and 2024, Zambia, Botswana, and Zimbabwe led LLDC export performance with average annual exports of USD 9.3 billion, USD 6.4 billion, and USD 4.5 billion, respectively. Though LLDCs contribute only 1.1% to global trade, they are increasingly vital to Africa’s regional value chains, supplying copper, gold, coffee, sugar, and textiles across the continent.

Digital Leapfrogging and Innovation

Technology is helping LLDCs leapfrog logistical bottlenecks. The report notes that digital services, fintech, and e-commerce are boosting access to markets, especially for micro, small, and medium-sized enterprises (MSMEs).

“Innovation is a key enabler of the land-linked transformation we are embarking on,” said Doe.

Countries like Rwanda have piloted blockchain systems to streamline customs and reduce border clearance times by up to 80 percent. In Ethiopia, blockchain is helping producers meet EU agricultural export standards, while Uganda is experimenting with AI-driven crop forecasting.

Still, digital gaps remain. Internet penetration in African LLDCs hovers at 20 percent, but UNDP sees this as “a growth opportunity” rather than a constraint.

Powering Trade Through Energy and Infrastructure

Energy access remains another stumbling block. In many LLDCs, especially in the Sahel, electricity coverage is under 20 percent. Yet with vast renewable potential—especially solar and hydro—countries are beginning to tap into cross-border energy markets.

Projects like the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam, the North Core Transmission Line, and the Southern African Power Pool are expected to transform regional energy trade, powering industries and reducing export costs.

“Many LLDCs are rich in solar and hydro resources,” noted Doe. “We must harness this to reduce dependence on fossil fuels and drive value-added exports.”

Physical connectivity is also central. While transport costs remain higher than in coastal states, they are being offset by strategic investments like intermodal corridors, dry ports, and rail-air hubs. These are designed not only to move goods but also to facilitate the integration of LLDCs into Global Value Chains (GVCs).

Opening Markets, Expanding Horizons

Perhaps the most significant development for Africa’s LLDCs is the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA). The trade pact, which covers a market of 1.3 billion people, offers reduced tariffs and harmonised trade rules.

The UNDP paper projects a 10 percent rise in exports for countries like Rwanda by 2035, thanks to AfCFTA-driven investments in agro-processing, manufacturing, and green industries.

LLDCs such as Eswatini, Lesotho, Niger, and Malawi are already seeing over 30 percent of exports going to other African countries, a sign of deepening regional integration. Eswatini, in particular, sends 88% of its exports within the continent.

Climate Resilience as Economic Imperative

Amid this economic momentum, climate change remains a serious threat. From worsening droughts in Chad to flooding in Burkina Faso, African LLDCs are disproportionately affected.

The report urges countries to mainstream climate resilience into trade systems and infrastructure. This includes climate-proofed transport corridors, solar-powered cold chains, and sustainable irrigation.

“To unlock their full potential, we must mobilise diverse financing, shift from low-value sectors, and build climate-smart infrastructure,” said Ahunna Eziakonwa, UNDP Regional Director for Africa.

To sustain momentum, the UNDP calls for the creation of an African LLDC Platform under the African Union. This would monitor progress, facilitate cross-country learning, and promote South-South cooperation, especially in infrastructure and digital trade.

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