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		<title>Construction of New Megaport in Peru Ignores Complaints from Local Residents</title>
		<link>https://www.ipsnews.net/2023/12/new-megaport-peru-ignores-complaints-local-residents/</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 19 Dec 2023 22:23:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mariela Jara</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[&#8220;We have always lived a very quiet life here, but everything has changed since the construction of the multi-purpose port began a few years ago,&#8221; said Miriam Arce, a neighborhood leader in this municipality 80 kilometers north of the Peruvian capital, where the new port is projected to become the epicenter of trade between China [&#8230;]]]></description>
		
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><font color="#999999"><img width="300" height="225" src="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2023/12/a-3-300x225.jpg" class="attachment-medium size-medium wp-post-image" alt="View from the area of La Puntilla, in the bay of the Peruvian town of Chancay, of the beach eroded as a result of the construction of the breakwater that is part of the mega-port built by a Chinese company, whose work is in its first phase. CREDIT: Mariela Jara / IPS" decoding="async" loading="lazy" srcset="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2023/12/a-3-300x225.jpg 300w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2023/12/a-3-768x576.jpg 768w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2023/12/a-3-629x472.jpg 629w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2023/12/a-3-200x149.jpg 200w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2023/12/a-3.jpg 976w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" /><p class="wp-caption-text">View from the area of La Puntilla, in the bay of the Peruvian town of Chancay, of the beach eroded as a result of the construction of the breakwater that is part of the mega-port built by a Chinese company, whose work is in its first phase. CREDIT: Mariela Jara / IPS</p></font></p><p>By Mariela Jara<br />CHANCAY, Peru , Dec 19 2023 (IPS) </p><p>&#8220;We have always lived a very quiet life here, but everything has changed since the construction of the multi-purpose port began a few years ago,&#8221; said Miriam Arce, a neighborhood leader in this municipality 80 kilometers north of the Peruvian capital, where the new port is projected to become the epicenter of trade between China and South American countries.</p>
<p><span id="more-183586"></span>Chancay is one of the 12 municipalities of the province of Huaral and has a population of about 63,000 inhabitants. It is known for its agricultural valleys, a sea providing an abundant catch for artisanal fishers and for fishmeal production, and attractive waves for surfers.</p>
<p>&#8220;This bay is ideal for getting away from the chaos of Lima. People came here because they found the calm and certainty of being in a safe place where everyone knows each other, without fear of being robbed while enjoying a beautiful beach and delicious seafood dishes,&#8221; Arce, president of the Association in Defense of Housing and the Environment of the port of Chancay, told IPS.</p>
<p>Her great-grandmother came to Peru in the 1930s fleeing the civil war in Spain, and settled in this Pacific coastal town where her children have always been involved in fishing.</p>
<p>&#8220;My grandfather worked in the first fishmeal factory and in the boom of the 1960s the company built these houses as a camp facing the sea and my dad, who was a fisherman, bought the house later,&#8221; she said.</p>
<p>Arce&#8217;s memories are related to the dilemma posed by some people moving away and leaving behind the conflict generated by the construction of the <a href="https://coscochancay.pe/en/the-company/">Chancay Multipurpose Port Terminal </a>that will cover a total of 992 hectares, built with an investment of 1.2 billion dollars in Chinese capital in the current first stage, to reach 3.6 billion by the time it is completed.</p>
<p>The investment is part of the Belt and Road Initiative launched globally by Beijing in 2013 as part of its global economic policy, which includes the development of road, port and connectivity infrastructure in different countries around the world, including South American nations.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<div id="attachment_183588" style="width: 639px" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img fetchpriority="high" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-183588" class="wp-image-183588" src="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2023/12/aa-3.jpg" alt="Miriam Arce, president of the Association in Defense of Housing and Environment of the port of Chancay, shows the side of El Cascajo hill that has been mutilated as part of the construction of a mega-port and logistics terminal that will commercially connect China with South America. CREDIT: Marianela Jara / IPS" width="629" height="472" srcset="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2023/12/aa-3.jpg 720w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2023/12/aa-3-300x225.jpg 300w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2023/12/aa-3-629x472.jpg 629w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2023/12/aa-3-200x149.jpg 200w" sizes="(max-width: 629px) 100vw, 629px" /><p id="caption-attachment-183588" class="wp-caption-text">Miriam Arce, president of the Association in Defense of Housing and Environment of the port of Chancay, shows the side of El Cascajo hill that has been mutilated as part of the construction of a mega-port and logistics terminal that will commercially connect China with South America. CREDIT: Marianela Jara / IPS</p></div>
<p>China&#8217;s largest shipping company, the state-owned <a href="https://lines.coscoshipping.com/">Cosco Shipping</a>, joined the project in 2019, when it acquired 60 percent of the shares. It changed the original design of the work started in 2016, to reconvert it into a multipurpose terminal, with four planned ports, and it took charge of construction. The remaining 40 percent stayed in the hands of the initial designer, the private Peruvian mining company Volcan.</p>
<p>It is called a multipurpose port due to the different functions of its terminals, which are expected to handle one million containers per year of general, non-mineral bulk, liquid and rolling cargo, using infrastructure with three different components: port operations, access and logistics, and the vehicular tunnel, <a href="https://coscochancay.pe/en/the-project/">as explained by the Chinese shipping company on the project&#8217;s website</a>.</p>
<p>The first stage, covering 141 hectares, will culminate with the construction of a port that will be inaugurated during the next <a href="https://www.apec.org/">Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC)</a> summit, which will be held for the third time in Peru in November 2024 and will be attended by Chinese President Xi Jinping.</p>
<p>According to the Peruvian government, <a href="https://www.gob.pe/institucion/mtc/noticias/648926-puerto-multiproposito-de-chancay-impulsara-la-economia-y-su-construccion-generara-7500-empleos-directos-e-indirectos">the megaproject will position this Andean country</a> as the leading Pacific logistics center in Latin America, which will boost its economy and exports and increase trade opportunities as well as local employment.</p>
<div id="attachment_183613" style="width: 660px" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><a href="https://www.ipsnews.net/2023/12/new-megaport-peru-ignores-complaints-local-residents/02chancay-port-aerial-view-zop-2-1/" rel="attachment wp-att-183613"><img decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-183613" class="size-full wp-image-183613" src="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2023/12/02Chancay-Port-aerial-view-ZOP-2-1.png" alt="Projection of what the multipurpose port under construction in Chancay Bay will look like in an area of 141 hectares. The first of the four planned terminals is to be inaugurated in November 2024, eight years after the start of construction. CREDIT: Cosco Shipping" width="650" height="465" srcset="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2023/12/02Chancay-Port-aerial-view-ZOP-2-1.png 650w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2023/12/02Chancay-Port-aerial-view-ZOP-2-1-300x215.png 300w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2023/12/02Chancay-Port-aerial-view-ZOP-2-1-629x450.png 629w" sizes="(max-width: 650px) 100vw, 650px" /></a><p id="caption-attachment-183613" class="wp-caption-text">Projection of what the multipurpose port under construction in Chancay Bay will look like in an area of 141 hectares. The first of the four planned terminals is to be inaugurated in November 2024, eight years after the start of construction. CREDIT: Cosco Shipping</p></div>
<p><strong>Why uproot ourselves?</strong></p>
<p>Arce is 54 years old and lives with her parents in the house where her grandparents, uncles, aunts and cousins lived. From the front of the house she can see the sea and their dock, while the back of the house is directly adjacent to the Cosco Shipping construction site, which has forced her to live permanently with dust, pollution and noise.</p>
<p>&#8220;This is not just a house, it is part of my family history. Why should I have to leave, uproot myself, if I was born here and I love this place. I was not a social activist, but defending the bay of Chancay has made me aware of the meaning of life and the interests at stake in our country, where it seems that money is worth more than people&#8217;s rights,&#8221; she said.</p>
<p>Her house is in the area of La Puntilla and together with her IPS toured the group of homes that line the boardwalk and lead to a hill from where you can see the breakwater, and the movement of machinery and workers.</p>
<p>What is most striking is the mutilation of one side of the Cascajo hill, on whose slopes are built the houses of La Puntilla, and which overlooks the port&#8217;s operational area where the docks, jetties and areas for maritime entry, container storage and maintenance workshops will be built.</p>
<p>Arce pointed out how the beach has eroded in the area. She also showed the geotubes, three-meter diameter canvas sleeves filled with sand and water that the company has placed between the sea and the sand as a retaining wall to counteract erosion.</p>
<p>&#8220;The works have changed the marine currents, we no longer have waves and have lost not only the characteristic beauty of the bay that was a tourist attraction, but the environment and natural resources have been damaged,&#8221; she complained.</p>
<p>In 2016, explosions began that created seismic waves that affected houses located as far as 50 kilometers from the project area. Protests led to the signing of agreements between affected residents who received payments of between 75 and 260 dollars for the inconvenience caused.</p>
<div id="attachment_183590" style="width: 639px" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-183590" class="wp-image-183590" src="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2023/12/aaaa-1.jpg" alt="A view from one of the hills of La Puntilla, on the slope of El Cascajo hill, of the construction of the jetty of the Peruvian mega-port that will operate as a trade center between China and South America. The first phase is set to be inaugurated in November 2024 by Chinese President Xi Jinping. CREDIT: Mariela Jara / IPS" width="629" height="472" srcset="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2023/12/aaaa-1.jpg 720w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2023/12/aaaa-1-300x225.jpg 300w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2023/12/aaaa-1-629x472.jpg 629w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2023/12/aaaa-1-200x149.jpg 200w" sizes="(max-width: 629px) 100vw, 629px" /><p id="caption-attachment-183590" class="wp-caption-text">A view from one of the hills of La Puntilla, on the slope of El Cascajo hill, of the construction of the jetty of the Peruvian mega-port that will operate as a trade center between China and South America. The first phase is set to be inaugurated in November 2024 by Chinese President Xi Jinping. CREDIT: Mariela Jara / IPS</p></div>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>Winging it</strong></p>
<p>&#8220;That&#8217;s the problem, that they do not recognize us as people affected by the project, and the agreements practically set conditions for people not to complain or protest,&#8221; Angely Yufra, from the Peralvillo area, also part of Chancay, where she has lived since she was born 49 years ago, told IPS.</p>
<p>She now lives alone with her husband because their children have become independent and she says that she is not intimidated by threats from the company, which has criminalized the protests by prosecuting several of their leaders.</p>
<p>On a tour through the streets of the port to the main access road to the North Pan-American highway, Arce and Yufra show how the company has practically taken over urban areas to move its trucks with materials to the entrance to the construction site, as well as to a part repaired after a collapse caused by the construction of the tunnel that will run through Chancay.</p>
<p>On its information page, Cosco Shipping states that the viaduct tunnel is 1.8 kilometers long and is a three-lane road for the exclusive transit of cargo related to port operations, along with two large conveyor belts.</p>
<p>&#8220;There has been no analysis of soils, which are highly varied in Chancay, to build the tunnel. From the beginning, the project got off on the wrong foot because due to the scope of the work it should have been carried out in an unpopulated desert area,&#8221; Arce argued.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<div id="attachment_183592" style="width: 639px" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-183592" class="wp-image-183592" src="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2023/12/aaaaa-1.jpg" alt="Angely Yufra, a resident of the Peralvillo area in the Peruvian bay of Chancay, criticizes a port megaproject that has destroyed the community's way of life and complains in particular about the planned elevated road, while pointing to the cement pylons that will be its base. CREDIT: Mariela Jara / IPS" width="629" height="472" srcset="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2023/12/aaaaa-1.jpg 720w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2023/12/aaaaa-1-300x225.jpg 300w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2023/12/aaaaa-1-629x472.jpg 629w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2023/12/aaaaa-1-200x149.jpg 200w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 629px) 100vw, 629px" /><p id="caption-attachment-183592" class="wp-caption-text">Angely Yufra, a resident of the Peralvillo area in the Peruvian bay of Chancay, criticizes a port megaproject that has destroyed the community&#8217;s way of life and complains in particular about the planned elevated road, while pointing to the cement pylons that will be its base. CREDIT: Mariela Jara / IPS</p></div>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Along the Pan-American Highway, a road that separates the municipality of Chancay in two, she pointed to huge concrete pylons on which an elevated road is to be built for the traffic of at least 4,000 trucks a day to the port&#8217;s logistics zone.</p>
<p>&#8220;And what will happen to the people who live on the sides of the road? They will be trapped, unable to cross to go to school, to the market, to visit relatives. What they have said is that they are going to build an alternative road, but that could take years,&#8221; said the community leader.</p>
<p>Arce said the origin of the project was marked by misinformation and under-the-table deals, and that it involved the second government of Alan García (2006-2011) and those that succeeded him: the administrations of Ollanta Humala, Pedro Pablo Kuczynski and Pedro Castillo. García committed suicide in 2019 when he was going to be arrested and the others are facing prosecution for different crimes.</p>
<p>&#8220;All of them gave their approval despite the fact that civil society and public organizations have submitted more than a hundred observations to the Modification of the Environmental Impact Study, which is necessary for the authorization of the works,&#8221; said Arce.</p>
<p>These <a href="https://derechoshumanos.pe/wp-content/uploads/2020/08/OBSERVACIONES_MEIA_Chancay.pdf">observations</a> include impacts on the life and rights of the local population and on nature, as well as irregular procedures.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<div id="attachment_183593" style="width: 639px" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-183593" class="wp-image-183593" src="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2023/12/aaaaaa-1.jpg" alt="Green shading net runs through different areas of the Peruvian port town of Chancay. It is the division between the work zone of a mega-port and the homes of the local population, affected by dust, seismic waves from the explosions, tension and noise. CREDIT: Mariela Jara / IPS" width="629" height="472" srcset="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2023/12/aaaaaa-1.jpg 720w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2023/12/aaaaaa-1-300x225.jpg 300w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2023/12/aaaaaa-1-629x472.jpg 629w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2023/12/aaaaaa-1-200x149.jpg 200w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 629px) 100vw, 629px" /><p id="caption-attachment-183593" class="wp-caption-text">Green shading net runs through different areas of the Peruvian port town of Chancay. It is the division between the work zone of a mega-port and the homes of the local population, affected by dust, seismic waves from the explosions, tension and noise. CREDIT: Mariela Jara / IPS</p></div>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Among the effects are impacts on the mental health of local residents. This is the case of María Bautista, &#8220;a lifelong resident of the Chancay port&#8221; who, at the age of 75 years, said she had never experienced anything like this before.</p>
<p>She and her daughter and granddaughter run a restaurant where ceviche, one of Peru&#8217;s signature dishes, is a favorite, as well as a hostel on the top floor, where surfers used to come. &#8220;Now they don&#8217;t come anymore because there are no waves,&#8221; she lamented.</p>
<p>She added that she has been badly affected psychologically and suffers from terrible anxiety.</p>
<p>&#8220;There is also contamination of the soil that affects our bronchial tubes and mistreatment by the company&#8217;s personnel, who trample on our dignity when giving us the agreed-upon amounts. They have told us that for Christmas we will receive a basket of goods &#8216;because they have been ripped off&#8217;, as if we were begging for money when we are working people,&#8221; Bautista said.</p>
<p>During the IPS tour through the streets of the port of Chancay, the dialogue was with women neighbors and leaders, because the male leaders were away on other business.</p>
<p>The Association in Defense of Housing and the Environment of the port of Chancay and other local residents&#8217; organizations know that there will be no going back on the works because &#8220;the economic interests and political lobbying are very strong,&#8221; said Arce.</p>
<p>She explained that in view of this they are proposing the formation of a multisectoral round table at the government level to evaluate the Environmental Impact Study and to recognize local residents as being affected by the project, as this will be the only way to fight for a compensation policy that they currently have no legal basis for demanding.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<div id="attachment_183594" style="width: 639px" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-183594" class="wp-image-183594" src="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2023/12/aaaaaaa-1.jpg" alt="María Bautista is the owner of a small ceviche restaurant, which has seen better times and has declined due to the absence of tourists and surfers who no longer choose the beaches of Chancay as a destination because the works of the mega-port have reduced the waves. CREDIT: Mariela Jara / IPS" width="629" height="472" srcset="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2023/12/aaaaaaa-1.jpg 720w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2023/12/aaaaaaa-1-300x225.jpg 300w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2023/12/aaaaaaa-1-629x472.jpg 629w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2023/12/aaaaaaa-1-200x149.jpg 200w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 629px) 100vw, 629px" /><p id="caption-attachment-183594" class="wp-caption-text">María Bautista is the owner of a small ceviche restaurant, which has seen better times and has declined due to the absence of tourists and surfers who no longer choose the beaches of Chancay as a destination because the works of the mega-port have reduced the waves. CREDIT: Mariela Jara / IPS</p></div>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>Arce said the local populace would join the protests because as the work progresses, the range of damage will increase, as is happening with the construction of the tunnel under the streets.</p>
<p>They are also beginning to feel the impacts of the overhead road that &#8220;will create a traffic jam at kilometer 80 of the North Pan-American highway, harming not only us but everyone who tries to drive along that road,&#8221; she said.</p>
<p>&#8220;We are a pebble in the giant&#8217;s shoe,&#8221; she summed up.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>A boost to the economy?</strong></p>
<p>Economist Norma Canales, who lived in the Huaral valley as a child, said there is a possibility that the multipurpose port of Chancay will increase GDP, as claimed by its advocates, which could contribute to improving the quality of life of the local population.</p>
<p>However, she said it was necessary to take into account the impacts that it will have on the lifestyle of local inhabitants, because it will lead to a radical change in their urban and productive infrastructure.</p>
<p>&#8220;It will mean going from a town of small-scale fishermen and farmers to a mega-port city receiving traffic of large-capacity shipping vessels,&#8221; she told IPS.</p>
<p>Against this background, she said, it was important not to lose sight of the possible population growth due to the demand for employment that may arise, which will require a response that guarantees access to services such as water, electricity and housing.</p>
		]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Opinion: The Bumpy Road to an Asian Century</title>
		<link>https://www.ipsnews.net/2015/06/opinion-the-bumpy-road-to-an-asian-century/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Jun 2015 08:06:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Shyam Saran</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ipsnews.net/?p=140894</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In this column, Shyam Saran – a former Foreign Secretary of India, currently Chairman of the R.I.S. think tank and Senior Fellow at the Centre for Policy Research in New Delhi – argues that competing regional trade arrangements and investment regimes in the Indo-Pacific region, with no clarity on the contours of a new and emerging economic architecture, may well stand in the way of making the 21st century the ‘Asian Century’.]]></description>
		
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><font color="#999999"><img width="300" height="174" src="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2015/06/Asia_satellite_plane-300x174.jpg" class="attachment-medium size-medium wp-post-image" alt="" decoding="async" loading="lazy" srcset="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2015/06/Asia_satellite_plane-300x174.jpg 300w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2015/06/Asia_satellite_plane-629x365.jpg 629w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2015/06/Asia_satellite_plane.jpg 800w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" /><p class="wp-caption-text">“Just as the world is moving towards multi-polarity, so is Asia … The economic fragmentation of the region and the competitive pursuit of security interests may well consign the Asian Century into a brief interlude rather than a millennial transformation”. Photo credit: Public domain via Wikimedia Commons </p></font></p><p>By Shyam Saran<br />NEW DELHI, Jun 1 2015 (IPS) </p><p>It has been apparent for some time that we are in the midst of a historic shift of the centre of gravity of the global economy from the trans-Atlantic to what is now becoming known as the Indo-Pacific.  <span id="more-140894"></span></p>
<p>This is an emerging centre of economic dynamism and comprises what was earlier confined to the Asia-Pacific but now includes the South Asian region as well.</p>
<p>This is a region which now accounts for nearly 40 percent of world gross domestic product (GDP), which is likely to rise to 50 percent or more by 2050.  Its share of world trade is now 30 percent and growing.</p>
<div id="attachment_127559" style="width: 247px" class="wp-caption alignleft"><a href="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2013/09/SSaran.jpg"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-127559" class="size-medium wp-image-127559" src="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2013/09/SSaran-237x300.jpg" alt="Shyam Saran" width="237" height="300" srcset="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2013/09/SSaran-237x300.jpg 237w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2013/09/SSaran.jpg 250w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 237px) 100vw, 237px" /></a><p id="caption-attachment-127559" class="wp-caption-text">Shyam Saran</p></div>
<p>This year, the region has become the largest source of foreign direct investment (FDI), surpassing the European Union (EU) and the United States. China has been the main driver of this historic shift, but other Asian economies have also made significant contributions.</p>
<p>As the Chinese economy begins to slow, India shows promise of regaining an accelerated growth trajectory under a new and decisive political leadership. This will help extend the scale and direction of this shift. Its geopolitical consequences will be profound.</p>
<p>It must be recognised that the economic transformation of Asia, in particular the spectacular growth of China, has been enabled by an unusually extended and liberal global economic environment, underpinned by the faith in globalisation and open markets.</p>
<p>It has also been enabled by a U.S.-led security architecture in the region which kept in check, though did not resolve, the long-standing political fault lines and regional conflicts over competing territorial claims and unresolved disputes.</p>
<p>This relatively benign and supportive economic and security environment is in danger of unravelling precisely at a time when the situation in the region is becoming more complex and challenging.  Paradoxically, this is partly a consequence of the very success of the region in achieving relative economic prosperity.“The danger is that instead of an inclusive and regionally integrated Asia, we may end up with exclusive and competing clusters, moving at different speeds, with different norms and standards.  This may well undermine the very basis of Asia’s economic dynamism”<br /><font size="1"></font></p>
<p>We are witnessing new trends in the region which, unless managed with prudence and foresight, may well sour the prospects of an Asian Century.</p>
<p>The relatively open and liberal trade and investment regime, in particular access to the large consuming markets of the United States, European Union and Japan, is now under serious threat.</p>
<p>Protectionist trends are already visible in these advanced economies as they struggle with prolonged economic stagnation which is the fall-out of the global financial and economic crisis of 2007-2008.</p>
<p>Instead of the consolidation and expansion of the open and inclusive economic architecture that had hitherto been the hallmark of the regional and global economy, we are witnessing its steady fragmentation.</p>
<p>In the Indo-Pacific region, there are competing regional trade arrangements and investment regimes, with no clarity on the contours of a new and emerging economic architecture.</p>
<p>The United States is spearheading its Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) which will include some Asian economies, but not India and China.</p>
<p>China has countered by proposing a free trade area encompassing the current Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) membership.  This will include China and the United States but not India and some of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) economies.</p>
<p>The Regional Cooperation Economic Partnership (RCEP) would include all ASEAN countries plus China, Japan, Republic of Korea, India, Australia and New Zealand, but not the United States.</p>
<p>And finally, there is the East Asia Summit process (EAS) which includes all the above-mentioned countries but also the United States and Russia.</p>
<p>The danger is that instead of an inclusive and regionally integrated Asia, we may end up with exclusive and competing clusters, moving at different speeds, with different norms and standards.  This may well undermine the very basis of Asia’s economic dynamism.</p>
<p>In the security field, too, we are witnessing a growing salience of inter-state tensions and competitive military build-up.</p>
<p>The U.S.-led security architecture remains in place formally but its erstwhile predominance is diminished.</p>
<p>The gap between the military capabilities of China and the United State is closing steadily. As China’s security footprint expands beyond its shores, it will inevitably intersect with the existing deployment of the forces of the United States and its allies and partners.</p>
<p>Faced with an increasingly uncertain security environment and threatened by a more insistent assertion of territorial claims by China, the countries of the region, including Japan, Republic of Korea, members of ASEAN, Australia and India are building up their own defences, in particular maritime capabilities, and this itself is escalating tensions.</p>
<p>There is as yet no emerging regional security architecture which could help manage inter-state tensions in the region. This includes the growing possibilities of confrontation between the United States and China.</p>
<p>In the absence of such a regional security architecture, based on a broad political consensus and a mutually acceptable Code of Conduct, the region may well witness a heightening of tension and even conflict.  These developments would inevitably and adversely impact on the dense network of trade and investment relations that bind the countries of the region together and erode the very basis of their prosperity.</p>
<p>In this context, mention may be made of the Chinese One Belt One Road (OBOR) initiative which seeks to deploy China’s surplus capital to build a vast network of transport and infrastructural links not only across the Indo-Pacific but also straddling the Eurasian landmass.</p>
<p>The newly established Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) initiated and led by China would become a key financing instrument for the OBOR.  China has also recently come out with a new Defence White Paper, which puts forward a new strategy of Open Seas, shifting the emphasis from coastal and near sea defence to an expanding naval presence which matches China’s growing global profile and world-wide location of Chinese-controlled economic assets.</p>
<p>While China’s investment in regional infrastructure in Asia may be welcome, it will inevitably be accompanied by a security dimension which may heighten anxieties among countries in the Asian region and beyond.</p>
<p>It is apparent from the above analysis that it is no longer possible for any major power in the Indo-Pacific to unilaterally seek a position of overweening economic dominance or military pre-eminence of the kind that the United States enjoyed over much of the post-Second World War period.</p>
<p>Just as the world is moving towards multi-polarity, so is Asia.  It is now home to a cluster of major powers with significant economic and security capabilities and interests. The only practical means of avoiding a unilateral and potentially destructive pursuit of economic and security interests would be to put in place an inclusive economic architecture underpinned  by a similarly inclusive security architecture which provides mutual reassurance and shared opportunities for promoting prosperity.</p>
<p>The economic fragmentation of the region and the competitive pursuit of security interests may well consign the Asian Century into a brief interlude rather than a millennial transformation. (END/COLUMNIST SERVICE)</p>
<p><em>Edited by </em><a href="http://www.ips.org/institutional/our-global-structure/biographies/phil-harris/"><em>Phil Harris</em></a><em>   </em></p>
<p><em>The views expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of, and should not be attributed to, IPS &#8211; Inter Press Service. </em></p>
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</ul></div>		<p>Excerpt: </p>In this column, Shyam Saran – a former Foreign Secretary of India, currently Chairman of the R.I.S. think tank and Senior Fellow at the Centre for Policy Research in New Delhi – argues that competing regional trade arrangements and investment regimes in the Indo-Pacific region, with no clarity on the contours of a new and emerging economic architecture, may well stand in the way of making the 21st century the ‘Asian Century’.]]></content:encoded>
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