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	<title>Inter Press ServiceChristiana Figueres Topics</title>
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		<title>Opinion: Paris Will Be Make or Break for the Planet</title>
		<link>https://www.ipsnews.net/2015/09/opinion-paris-will-be-make-or-break-for-the-planet/</link>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 05 Sep 2015 10:57:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Renee Juliene Karunungan</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[Renee Juliene Karunungan, 25, is the advocacy director of Dakila, a group of artists, students, and individuals in the Philippines committed to working towards social change, which has been campaigning for climate justice since 2009. Karunungan, who is also a climate tracker for the Adopt a Negotiator project, was in Bonn for the U.N. Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) meetings.]]></description>
		
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><font color="#999999"><p class="wp-caption-text">Renee Juliene Karunungan, 25, is the advocacy director of Dakila, a group of artists, students, and individuals in the Philippines committed to working towards social change, which has been campaigning for climate justice since 2009. Karunungan, who is also a climate tracker for the Adopt a Negotiator project, was in Bonn for the U.N. Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) meetings.</p></font></p><p>By Renee Juliene Karunungan<br />BONN, Sep 5 2015 (IPS) </p><p>December 2015 will define the course of humanity’s survival at the crunch U.N. climate conference in Paris, known in technical jargon as the 21st Conference of Parties (COP21).<span id="more-142285"></span></p>
<p>COPs are annual meeting of countries mandated by the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC).</p>
<p>After two decades of meetings, this year’s COP is expected to see countries come up with a legally binding and universal agreement on climate, with the aim of keeping global warming below 2°C.</p>
<div id="attachment_142245" style="width: 210px" class="wp-caption alignleft"><a href="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2015/09/Renee-Karunungan_avatar_1436356053-200x200.jpg"><img decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-142245" class="size-full wp-image-142245" src="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2015/09/Renee-Karunungan_avatar_1436356053-200x200.jpg" alt="Renee Juliene Karunungan" width="200" height="200" srcset="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2015/09/Renee-Karunungan_avatar_1436356053-200x200.jpg 200w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2015/09/Renee-Karunungan_avatar_1436356053-200x200-100x100.jpg 100w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2015/09/Renee-Karunungan_avatar_1436356053-200x200-144x144.jpg 144w" sizes="(max-width: 200px) 100vw, 200px" /></a><p id="caption-attachment-142245" class="wp-caption-text">Renee Juliene Karunungan</p></div>
<p>The world has warmed by 0.8°C since the pre-industrial period and it is clear to all where this has taken us – most recently, more than 6,000 dead from Typhoon Haiyan and 1,000 from the Pakistan heatwave, roads literally melted in India because of temperatures that reached 48°C and 1.29 million acres of farmland in Myanmar destroyed by the floods caused by torrential rains.</p>
<p>In the run-up to the Paris conference, the Ad Hoc Working Group on the Durban Platform (ADP), which is working to develop an agreement with legal force under the UNFCCC applicable to all, met in Bonn from Aug. 31 to Sep. 4 – in those five days alone, Dominica was suffering from the aftermath of Typhoon Erika, experts were reporting that 2015 will be the hottest year on record, and three Category 4 typhoons formed in the Pacific Ocean.</p>
<p>We are experiencing things we have not experienced before and they are happening fast.</p>
<p>After 20 years of negotiations, will countries finally make it right in Paris?“COP21 is dangerously close to disappointing the world, with very little indication that both substance and process are moving towards a robust, ambitious, comprehensive, durable and fair agreement” – Yeb Sano, climate activist and former negotiator of the Philippines<br /><font size="1"></font></p>
<p>“COP21 is dangerously close to disappointing the world, with very little indication that both substance and process are moving towards a robust, ambitious, comprehensive, durable and fair agreement,” said Yeb Sano, climate activist and former negotiator of the Philippines.</p>
<p>After the ADP meeting which has just ended in Bonn, there are only five more negotiating days left in October before COP21 in Paris, and countries are afraid to commit the same mistakes as they did at the COP meeting Copenhagen in 2009, which resulted in a failure to come up with a climate agreement.</p>
<p>However, six years later, the negotiations are still moving slowly.</p>
<p>“They keep on talking but nobody wants to compromise. There is no effort to negotiate,” said Tess Vistro of the Asia Pacific Forum on Women, Law and Development (APWD).</p>
<p>Young people took action on the last day of the negotiations in Bonn, calling for negotiators to “Speed it up!” and ensure that important issues such as loss and damage, human rights and long-term goals are given importance and included in any climate agreement.</p>
<p>Nevertheless, the ADP meetings in Bonn – no matter how slow – did give some flickers of hope. Australia and the United States, for example acknowledged the importance of loss and damage, especially for developing countries. However, whether they actually do something about it is another matter.</p>
<p>“It will take a tremendously gigantic effort by governments between now and November to make the Paris COP successful. This will entail unprecedented international cooperation which is anchored on ambitious climate action,” Sano said.</p>
<p>“It is about an agreement that recognises the dignity of the human condition. It is about a more just, safe, and sustainable world. It is a big goal, but one that I believe that humanity is capable of achieving,” he added.</p>
<p>With time running out, countries are being expected to make strong commitments to climate action. “Every country remains committed towards the final destination,” said Christiana Figueres, Executive Secretary of the UNFCCC.</p>
<p>The sincerity of this commitment will be judged by whether it translates into a fair, ambitious and legally-binding climate agreement in December. How much can every country put in? Will all countries commit to a fossil fuel-free economy by 2050? Will developed countries recognise their responsibility to developing countries? Will there be enough resources for adaptation?</p>
<p>There is still much left to be desired for the climate agreement, especially for developing countries and certainly much work to be done. Paris will be the make or break for humanity – will 2015 be the year we decide to come together and work towards a better future?</p>
<p><em>Edited by </em><a href="http://www.ips.org/institutional/our-global-structure/biographies/phil-harris/"><em>Phil Harris</em></a><em>   </em></p>
<p><em>The views expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of, and should not be attributed to, IPS &#8211; Inter Press Service. </em></p>
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</ul></div>		<p>Excerpt: </p>Renee Juliene Karunungan, 25, is the advocacy director of Dakila, a group of artists, students, and individuals in the Philippines committed to working towards social change, which has been campaigning for climate justice since 2009. Karunungan, who is also a climate tracker for the Adopt a Negotiator project, was in Bonn for the U.N. Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) meetings.]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Climate Change: Some Companies Reject ‘Business as Usual’</title>
		<link>https://www.ipsnews.net/2015/05/climate-change-some-companies-reject-business-as-usual/</link>
		<comments>https://www.ipsnews.net/2015/05/climate-change-some-companies-reject-business-as-usual/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 21 May 2015 16:06:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>A. D. McKenzie</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ipsnews.net/?p=140742</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[When it comes to climate change, business as usual is simply “not an option”. That was the view of Eldar Saetre, CEO of Norwegian multinational Statoil, as international industry leaders met in Paris for a two-day Business &#38; Climate Summit, six months ahead of the next United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP 21 ) that [&#8230;]]]></description>
		
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><font color="#999999"><img width="300" height="225" src="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2015/05/Demonstrators-at-the-Business-Climate-Summit-Flickr-300x225.jpg" class="attachment-medium size-medium wp-post-image" alt="" decoding="async" fetchpriority="high" srcset="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2015/05/Demonstrators-at-the-Business-Climate-Summit-Flickr-300x225.jpg 300w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2015/05/Demonstrators-at-the-Business-Climate-Summit-Flickr.jpg 1024w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2015/05/Demonstrators-at-the-Business-Climate-Summit-Flickr-629x472.jpg 629w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2015/05/Demonstrators-at-the-Business-Climate-Summit-Flickr-200x149.jpg 200w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2015/05/Demonstrators-at-the-Business-Climate-Summit-Flickr-900x675.jpg 900w" sizes="(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" /><p class="wp-caption-text">Demonstrators protesting at the Business & Climate Summit in Paris, May 20. Credit: A.D. McKenzie/IPS</p></font></p><p>By A. D. McKenzie<br />PARIS, May 21 2015 (IPS) </p><p>When it comes to climate change, business as usual is simply “not an option”.<span id="more-140742"></span></p>
<p>That was the view of Eldar Saetre, CEO of Norwegian multinational Statoil, as international industry leaders met in Paris for a two-day Business &amp; Climate Summit, six months ahead of the next United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP 21 ) that will also be held in the French capital.</p>
<p>Subtitled “Working together to build a better economy”, the May 20-21 summit brought together some 2,000 representatives of some of the world’s largest retail and energy concerns, including  companies that NGOs have criticized as being among the worst environmental offenders.</p>
<p>At the end, business leaders proclaimed that they wanted “a global climate deal that achieves net zero emissions” and that they wanted to see this happen at COP 21.</p>
<p>Throughout the conference, participants stressed that businesses will have to change, not only to protect the environment, but for their own survival. “Taking climate action simply makes good business sense. However, business solutions on climate are not being scaled up fast enough,” declared the summit organizers.</p>
<p>They pledged to lead the “global transition to a low-carbon, climate resilient economy.”</p>
<p>Saetre, for example, said his company wanted to achieve “low-carbon oil and gas production” and that it had embarked on renewables in the form of offshore wind energy. But he said that fossil fuels would still be needed in the future, alongside the various forms of renewable energy.</p>
<p>Acknowledging the widespread scepticism about multinational companies’ commitment, business leaders said that they could not “go it alone”, and called for support from governments as well as consumers.</p>
<p>Mike Barry, Director of Sustainable Business at British retailer Marks &amp; Spencer, told IPS in an interview that global commitment was important in the drive to transform industry to have more environmentally friendly practices.</p>
<p>“Collective action can bring about real change,” he said. “We’re here today because we believe that climate change is happening and it’s going to have a significant impact on our business in the future and our success.</p>
<p>“Our customers would expect us to take the lead on this, and we want governments to take this seriously as well in the run-up to <a href="http://www.cop21.gouv.fr/en">COP 21</a> [the 21st session of the Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change to be held in Paris from Nov. 30 to Dec. 11].”</p>
<p>He said that Marks &amp; Spencer and other companies in a network called the <a href="http://www.theConsumer%20Goods%20Forum">Consumer Goods Forum</a> wanted to “stand shoulder to shoulder with government to say ‘this matters and we’re here to help’.”</p>
<p>But government consensus on how to address climate change has proved difficult, and even French President Francois Hollande, who opened the summit, conceded that it would require a miracle for a real agreement to be reached at COP 21.</p>
<p>“We must have a consensus. It’s already not easy in our own countries, so with 196 countries, a miracle is needed,” he said at the Business &amp; Climate Summit, expressing the conviction, however, that agreement will be reached through negotiation and “responsibility”.</p>
<p>Hollande and other officials said the involvement of businesses was essential, and France, with its huge oil and electricity companies, evidently has a big role to play.</p>
<p>However, demonstrators outside the summit, held at the headquarters of the United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organisation (UNESCO), slammed big business.</p>
<p>“These multinationals (and the banks that finance their activities) are in fact directly at the origin of climate change,” read a statement from organisations including Les Amis de la Terre (Friends of the Earth, France) and the civil disobedience group J.E.D.I. for Climate.</p>
<p>Saying that it was ironic to have fossil-fuel companies represented at the summit, the groups asked: “Can one imagine for a second that the tobacco industry would be associated with policies to combat smoking aimed at ending the production of cigarettes? No, that would be the best way to ensure that the world continued to chain-smoke.”</p>
<p>The protesters added that if Hollande and his ministers wanted to show a real commitment to the environment, they should make it clear that “the climate is not a business”.</p>
<p>“The fight against climate change is not the business of fossil-fuel multinationals: they belong to our past,” the groups said in a joint release, handed out on the street.</p>
<p>At the summit, Christiana Figueres, Executive Secretary of the U.N. Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), said that businesses should not be “demonised” and she called for collaboration rather than confrontation.</p>
<p>“We all start with a carbon footprint,” she said. “It is not a question of demonising anyone but realizing that we’re all here … This is not about confrontation. This is about collaboration. If you’re thinking about confrontation, forget it. Because we’re not going to get there.”</p>
<p>The summit – co-hosted by Entreprises Pour l’Environnement, an association of some 40 French and large international companies, and UN Global Compact France, a policy initiative for businesses – also addressed the vulnerability of island states in the face of climate change.</p>
<p>Tony de Brum, the Marshall Islands’ Minister of Foreign Affairs, said that island states in the Pacific and elsewhere had an interest in keeping pressure on carbon emitters because their populations’ survival was at stake.</p>
<p>Angel Gurría, Secretary General of the Paris-based Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), also highlighted the threat to vulnerable countries, saying that for them, climate change is not about protecting the environment for future generations, but “it’s about how long the water will take to overcome the land.”</p>
<p>Gurría said that greater reductions in carbon emissions were required than has so far been proposed by states, and he stressed that countries over time needed to “develop a pathway to net zero emissions globally” by the second half of the century.</p>
<p>“Governments at COP 21 need to send a clear directional signal that will drive action for decades to come,” he said. “We are on a collision course with nature, and unless we seize this opportunity, we face an increasing risk of severe, pervasive and irreversible climate impact.”</p>
<p><em>Edited by </em><a href="http://www.ips.org/institutional/our-global-structure/biographies/phil-harris/"><em>Phil Harris</em></a><em>    </em></p>
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		<title>Africa Laments as Kyoto Protocol Hangs in Limbo</title>
		<link>https://www.ipsnews.net/2014/12/africa-laments-as-kyoto-protocol-hangs-in-limbo/</link>
		<comments>https://www.ipsnews.net/2014/12/africa-laments-as-kyoto-protocol-hangs-in-limbo/#respond</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 03 Dec 2014 23:40:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Wambi Michael</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ipsnews.net/?p=138076</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[African countries fought hard for the Kyoto Protocol not to die on African soil at the 2011 Climate Change Conference in South Africa, but they say it is now languishing in limbo because developed countries are taking what they called “baby steps&#8221; towards ratification of the Doha Amendment that gave it a new lease of [&#8230;]]]></description>
		
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>By Wambi Michael<br />LIMA, Dec 3 2014 (IPS) </p><p>African countries fought hard for the <a href="http://unfccc.int/kyoto_protocol/items/2830.php">Kyoto Protocol</a> not to die on African soil at the 2011 Climate Change Conference in South Africa, but they say it is now languishing in limbo because developed countries are taking what they called “baby steps&#8221; towards ratification of the <a href="http://unfccc.int/kyoto_protocol/doha_amendment/items/7362.php">Doha Amendment</a> that gave it a new lease of life.<span id="more-138076"></span></p>
<p>The African Group and other least developed country negotiators at the ongoing (Dec. 1-12) U.N. Climate Change Conference in Lima, Peru, say they are concerned about the slow progress towards giving a legal force to the international emission reduction treaty.</p>
<div id="attachment_138080" style="width: 310px" class="wp-caption alignleft"><a href="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2014/12/Nagmeldin-El-Hassa-Chair-of-Africa-Group-of-negotiators-in-Lima.-Credit-Wambi-Michael.jpg"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-138080" class="size-medium wp-image-138080" src="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2014/12/Nagmeldin-El-Hassa-Chair-of-Africa-Group-of-negotiators-in-Lima.-Credit-Wambi-Michael-300x225.jpg" alt="Nagmeldin El Hassa, Chair of the Africa Group in Lima – “In our view, the developed countries are reneging, abandoning and weakening the Kyoto Protocol”. Credit: Wambi Michael/IPS" width="300" height="225" srcset="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2014/12/Nagmeldin-El-Hassa-Chair-of-Africa-Group-of-negotiators-in-Lima.-Credit-Wambi-Michael-300x225.jpg 300w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2014/12/Nagmeldin-El-Hassa-Chair-of-Africa-Group-of-negotiators-in-Lima.-Credit-Wambi-Michael-1024x768.jpg 1024w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2014/12/Nagmeldin-El-Hassa-Chair-of-Africa-Group-of-negotiators-in-Lima.-Credit-Wambi-Michael-629x472.jpg 629w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2014/12/Nagmeldin-El-Hassa-Chair-of-Africa-Group-of-negotiators-in-Lima.-Credit-Wambi-Michael-200x149.jpg 200w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2014/12/Nagmeldin-El-Hassa-Chair-of-Africa-Group-of-negotiators-in-Lima.-Credit-Wambi-Michael-900x675.jpg 900w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" /></a><p id="caption-attachment-138080" class="wp-caption-text">Nagmeldin El Hassa, Chair of the Africa Group in Lima – “In our view, the developed countries are reneging, abandoning and weakening the Kyoto Protocol”. Credit: Wambi Michael/IPS</p></div>
<p>“We would like to point out that slow ratification of <a href="https://unfccc.int/files/meetings/durban_nov_2011/decisions/application/pdf/awgkp_outcome.pdf">Commitment Period Two</a> of Kyoto by developed countries does not build confidence. In our view, the developed countries are reneging, abandoning and weakening the Kyoto Protocol,” Nagmeldin El Hassan, Chair of the African Group said at the opening of the conference.</p>
<p>He said failure by developed countries to ratify the Doha Amendment was forcing the least developed countries to assume legal commitments while relaxing the legal commitments of the historical greenhouse emitters. “If this is the game that some think we are ready to entertain, we must make it clear that we will not be party to this game,” El Hassan added.</p>
<p>In December 2012, the Doha Amendment to the Protocol was agreed, extending it into a new commitment period running from 1 January 2013 to 31 December 2020. The European Union (EU), its 28 Member States and other developed countries have ratified the protocol.</p>
<p>The U.N. Framework Convention on Climate Change, to which the Kyoto Protocol is linked, requires ratification by 144 countries before it can enter into force.“The responses of rich developed countries show no sense of urgency – they have presented less climate finance than last year, have not raised their pollution targets and have not even legally ratified the Kyoto Protocol as they promised two years ago” – Mithika Mwenda, Secretary-General of the Pan African Climate Justice Alliance (PACJA)<br /><font size="1"></font></p>
<p>By the end of November 2014, only 20 countries had ratified the Doha Amendment establishing the second commitment period of the Kyoto Protocol. Guyana was the latest to ratify as it prepared to join the negotiations in Lima.</p>
<p>El Hassan told IPS that the ratification process needs to be accelerated and clear accounting rules adopted in Lima so that the amendment enters into force by the next Climate Change Conference in Paris in 2015.</p>
<p>African environment groups and NGOs are also calling on governments to hasten progress on ratification of the much fought for second commitment period for the Kyoto Protocol.</p>
<p>Mithika Mwenda, Secretary-General of the Pan African Climate Justice Alliance (<a href="http://www.pacja.org/index.php/en/">PACJA</a>) to which more than 30 Africa-based NGOs belong, told IPS that it was demoralised by the “baby step” speed of the developed countries towards ratification.</p>
<p>“Africans have sent their governments to Lima with urgent and creative demands to face the climate crisis,” said Mwenda. “Yet the responses of rich developed countries show no sense of urgency – they have presented less climate finance than last year, have not raised their pollution targets and have not even legally ratified the Kyoto Protocol as they promised two years ago.”</p>
<p>According to Mwenda, the developed countries are determined to delay their participation in the Kyoto Protocol&#8217;s second commitment period.  “They are letting their national interests trump over the global common good and are opting out of multilateral rules.”</p>
<p>Earlier in the week, UNFCCC Executive Secretary Christiana Figueres said that both developed and developing country Parties to the Kyoto Protocol needed to save the protocol from languishing in limbo by ratifying it.</p>
<p>“I have said this before and let me say it again. For this international legal framework to enter into force, governments need to complete their ratification process as soon as possible. We need a positive political signal of the ambition of nations to step up crucial climate action,” said Figueres.</p>
<p>The African Group is pushing for ratification of the Doha Amendment because it extends a legal commitment to Annex 1 countries – members of the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) plus a group of countries whose economies are in transition – to contribute towards a global effort to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions.</p>
<p>Ram Prasad Lamsal from Nepal, who chairs the LDC Group, told IPS that “ratification is essential for the Kyoto Protocol to continue to serving as a cornerstone of the multilaterally agreed rules-based system under the [Climate Change] Convention and a full reflection of its principles of equity and common but differentiated responsibilities.”</p>
<p>However, while the African countries are pushing their developed country counterparts to ratify the Doha Amendment, just four of them had ratified it by the end of November – South Africa, Sudan, Morocco and Kenya.</p>
<p>A delegate from European Union speaking on condition of anonymity wondered why the African countries – as well as the LDC Group, the G77 and China – were not ratifying the second commitment period as they mount pressure on developed countries.</p>
<p>Paul Isabirye, Uganda’s UNFCCC Focal Point, told IPS that African countries would easily ratify once the developed countries had taken the lead.</p>
<p>“But even if all the African countries ratified, it still cannot enter into force before our colleagues do it. They have the bulk of the emissions to cut. The issue is not that Africa has lagged behind, the big emitters don’t seem to be coming forward,” said Isabirye.</p>
<p>(Edited by <a href="http://www.ips.org/institutional/our-global-structure/biographies/phil-harris/">Phil Harris</a>)</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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		<title>Will Climate Change Denialism Help the Russian Economy?</title>
		<link>https://www.ipsnews.net/2014/08/will-climate-change-denialism-help-the-russian-economy/</link>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 30 Aug 2014 17:00:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mikhail Matveev</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[The recent call from Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev for “tightening belts” has convinced even optimists that something is deeply wrong with the Russian economy. No doubt the planned tax increases (introduction of a sales tax and increases in VAT and income tax) will inflict severe damage on most businesses and their employees, if last year’s [&#8230;]]]></description>
		
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><font color="#999999"><img width="300" height="225" src="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2014/08/July-2014-floods-in-Russia-but-authorities-turning-blind-eye-to-climate-change.-Credit_Takeme-300x225.jpg" class="attachment-medium size-medium wp-post-image" alt="" decoding="async" loading="lazy" srcset="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2014/08/July-2014-floods-in-Russia-but-authorities-turning-blind-eye-to-climate-change.-Credit_Takeme-300x225.jpg 300w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2014/08/July-2014-floods-in-Russia-but-authorities-turning-blind-eye-to-climate-change.-Credit_Takeme-629x472.jpg 629w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2014/08/July-2014-floods-in-Russia-but-authorities-turning-blind-eye-to-climate-change.-Credit_Takeme-200x149.jpg 200w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2014/08/July-2014-floods-in-Russia-but-authorities-turning-blind-eye-to-climate-change.-Credit_Takeme.jpg 740w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" /><p class="wp-caption-text">July 2014 floods in Russia but authorities turning blind eye to climate change. Credit: takemake.ru</p></font></p><p>By Mikhail Matveev<br />MOSCOW, Aug 30 2014 (IPS) </p><p>The recent call from Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev for “tightening belts” has convinced even optimists that something is deeply wrong with the Russian economy.<span id="more-136429"></span></p>
<p>No doubt the <a href="http://top.rbc.ru/economics/05/08/2014/941039.shtml">planned</a> tax increases (introduction of a sales tax and increases in VAT and income tax) will inflict severe damage on most businesses and their employees, if last year’s example of what happened when taxes were raised for individual entrepreneurs is anything to go by – <a href="http://www.gazeta.ru/business/2013/06/06/5370215.shtml">650,000</a> of them were forced to close their businesses.</p>
<p>Nevertheless, it looks like some lucky people are not only going to escape the “belt-tightening” but are also about to receive some dream tax vacations and the lucky few are not farmers, nor are they in technological, educational, scientific or professional fields – it is the Russian and international oil giants involved in oil and gas projects in the Arctic and in Eastern Siberia that stand to gain.</p>
<p>“In October [2013], Vladimir Putin signed a bill under which oil extraction at sea deposits will be exempt from severance tax. Moreover, VAT will not need to be paid for the sales, transportation and utilisation of the oil extracted from the sea shelf,” noted Russian newspaper <a href="http://rosnedra.info/guest/Mneniye/">Rossiiskie Nedra</a>.“It looks like some lucky people are not only going to escape the ‘belt-tightening’ but are also about to receive some dream tax vacations and the lucky few are not farmers, nor are they in technological, educational, scientific or professional fields – it is the Russian and international oil giants involved in oil and gas projects in the Arctic and in Eastern Siberia that stand to gain”<br /><font size="1"></font></p>
<p>Some continental oil projects were also<a href="http://energyworld.interaffairs.ru/index.php/growers/item/239-23">blessed</a>by the “Tsar’s generosity”: “For four Russian deposits with hard-to-recover oils [shale oil, etc.] – Bazhenovskaya [in Western Siberia] and Abalakskaya in Eastern Siberia, Khadumskaya in the Caucasus, and Domanikovaya in the Ural region – severance taxes do not need to be paid. Other deposits had their severance tax rates reduced by 20-80%.”</p>
<p>In fact, the line of thinking adopted by Russian officials responsible for tax policy is very simple. Faced with the predicament of an economy dependent on oil and gas (half of the state budget comes from oil and gas revenue, while two-thirds of exports come from the fossil fuel industry), they decided to act as usual – by stimulating more drilling and charging the rest of the economy with the additional tax burden.</p>
<p>There have been many warnings from well-known economists about the “resource curse” [the paradox that countries and regions with an abundance of natural resources tend to have less economic growth and worse development outcomes than countries with fewer natural resources] – and its potential consequences for the countries affected: from having weak industries and agriculture to being prone to dictatorships and corruption.</p>
<p>For a long time, however, economists have been keen on separating the economic and social impacts of fossil fuel dependency from the environmental and climate-related problems. But now, these problems are closely interconnected, and Russia might be the first to feel the strength of their combination in the near future.</p>
<p>Medvedev may not have read much about the “resource curse” but he should at least be familiar with the official position of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCC), whose Executive Secretary Christiana Figueres has <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/04/03/us-climate-oil-idUSBREA320T220140403">said</a> that three-quarters of known fossil fuel reserves need to stay in the ground in order to avoid the worst possible climate scenario.</p>
<p>One should at least expect this amount of knowledge from Russia as a member of the UN Security Council and it will be interesting to note whether the Russian delegation attending the UN Climate Summit in New York on September 23 will be ready to explain why, instead of limiting fossil fuel extraction, the whole country’s economic and tax policy is now aimed at encouraging as much drilling as possible.</p>
<p>However, it is not just the United Nations that has been warning against the burning of fossil fuels due to the related high climate risks. In 2005, Russia’s own meteorology service Roshydromet issued its prognosis of climate change and the consequences for Russia, stating that the rate of climate change in Russia is two times faster than the world’s average.</p>
<p>Roshydromet predicted a rapid increase in both the frequency and strength of extreme climate events – including floods, hurricanes, droughts, and wildfires. The number of such events has <a href="http://m.ria.ru/global_warming/20140514/1007771088.html">almost doubled</a> during the last 15 years, and represent not only an economic threat but also a real threat to humans’ lives and their well-being,</p>
<p>Consider this summary of climate disasters in Russia during an ordinary July week (not including any of the large natural disasters such as the floods in Altai, Khabarovsk, and Krymsk, or the forest fires around Moscow in 2010):</p>
<p>“Following the weather incidents in the Sverdlovsk and Chelyabinsk District where snow fell last weekend, a natural anomaly occurred in Novosibirsk, resulting in human casualties &#8230; <a href="http://m.ria.ru/global_warming/20140514/1007771088.html">Two three-year-old twin sisters died</a> after a tree fell on them during a strong wind storm in the town of Berdsk, Novosibirsk District.”</p>
<p>“The flood in Yakutia lasted a week and resulted in the submersion of Ozhulun village in Churapchinsky district last Saturday. Due to the rise of the Tatta River, <a href="http://www.newizv.ru/accidents/2014-07-14/204650-v-jakutii-iz-za-proryva-plotiny-zatopilo-dva-sela.html">57 house went under</a>.”</p>
<p>“Flooding in Tuapse [on the coast of the Black Sea] occurred on July 8, 2014 … [and] has left <a href="http://piter.tv/event/tuapse_navodnenie_2014/">236 citizens homeless</a>.”</p>
<div id="attachment_136433" style="width: 310px" class="wp-caption alignleft"><a href="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2014/08/Car-swept-away-in-July-2014-floods-in-Russia.-Credit_Takeme.jpg"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-136433" class="wp-image-136433 size-medium" src="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2014/08/Car-swept-away-in-July-2014-floods-in-Russia.-Credit_Takeme-300x199.jpg" alt="ar swept away in July 2014 floods in Russia. Credit: takeme.ru" width="300" height="199" srcset="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2014/08/Car-swept-away-in-July-2014-floods-in-Russia.-Credit_Takeme-300x199.jpg 300w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2014/08/Car-swept-away-in-July-2014-floods-in-Russia.-Credit_Takeme-629x417.jpg 629w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2014/08/Car-swept-away-in-July-2014-floods-in-Russia.-Credit_Takeme.jpg 740w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" /></a><p id="caption-attachment-136433" class="wp-caption-text">Cars swept away in July 2014 floods in Russia. Credit: takeme.ru</p></div>
<p>Is it not worrisome that so many climate disasters have to occur before Russian officials start to realise that climatologists are not lying? Or perhaps they are simply not inclined to take the climatologists’ warnings seriously.</p>
<p>Another significant problem could arise for Russia if oil consumers start taking U.N. climate warnings seriously – and there is evidence that this is happening.</p>
<p>The European Union (still the main consumer of Russian oil and gas) has announced an ambitious “20/20/20 programme” – increasing shares from renewables to 20 percent, improving energy efficiency by 20 percent, and decreasing carbon emissions by 20 percent. The United States has decided to decrease carbon emissions from power plants by 30 percent. These are only first steps – but even these steps can help decrease fossil fuel consumption.</p>
<p>Fossil fuel use has only very slowly been increasing in the United States and decreasing in Europe in the last five years. On the other hand, demand for oil has continued to rise in China and Southeast Asia, and it is perhaps this – rather than the recent “sanctions” against Russia over Ukraine – that inspired President Vladimir Putin’s recent “turn to the East”.</p>
<p>But there are serious doubts that Asia’s greed for oil will continue into the future. China recently admitted that it will soon be taking measures to limit carbon emissions – for the first time in its history. China has already turned to green energy andled the rest of the worldin renewable energy investment in 2013.</p>
<p>Will other Asian countries follow suit? Perhaps – because they certainly have a very strong incentive. <a href="http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2014/07/08/why-will-economic-growth-be-slower-in-2060-across-the-world/">According to</a> Erin McCarthy writing in the Wall Street Journal, South and Southeast Asia’s losses due to global warming may be huge, and its GDP may be reduced by 6 percent by 2060, despite the measures taken to curb its emissions.</p>
<p><strong>What does this mean for Russia?</strong></p>
<p>Well, if the oil-consuming countries meet their carbon emission targets, we can expect a 10-20 percent decrease in oil demand in the next ten years, maybe more. Any decrease in demand usually induces a decrease in price – but not always proportionally. Sometimes, especially if the market is overheated, even a small decrease in demand can trigger a drastic falls in price. Economists call such a situation a “bursting bubble”.</p>
<p>Today, the situation in the oil (and, in general, fossil fuel) market is often called a “carbon bubble”. Because of high oil prices, investors are motivated to make investments in oil drilling in the hopes of earning a stable and long-term income.</p>
<p>But once the world starts taking climate issues seriously and realises that most of the oil needs to be left in the ground, oil assets will fall in value. Investors will try to withdraw their money from the fossil fuel sector, and, facing a crisis, oil companies will be forced to decrease both production and prices.</p>
<p>If the “carbon bubble” bursts, Russia will be left with sustainable businesses (that are being choked by the nation’s own tax politics) and with a perfect network of shelf platforms, oil rigs, and pipelines (which will be completely unprofitable and useless). Thus, by making fossil fuels the core of its economy, Russia is taking twice the number of risks.</p>
<p>First, it risks ruining the climate, and second, it risks ruining its own economy. It looks like Russia will lose at any rate: if the leading energy consumers are unable to decrease their oil consumption, the climate will be ruined everywhere, including Russia. If they manage to decrease their dependence on fossil fuel, the Russian economy will be ruined.</p>
<p>This certainly is not looking pleasant, especially if we add in the high probability of a major disaster like the Gulf of Mexico Oil spill happening in the Arctic, as well as countless minor leaks possibly occurring along the Russian pipelines.</p>
<p>But maybe Russia just has no other alternative to an economy dependent on fossil fuels?</p>
<p>In that case, perhaps it is worth mentioning a recent <a href="http://www.forbes.ru/mneniya-column/gosplan/261377-skrytyi-rezerv-sposobna-li-ekonomika-rasti-bez-nefti-i-gaza">article</a> by Russian financier Andrei Movchan in the Russian Forbes magazine. Movchan convincingly shows that the Achilles’ heel of the modern Russian economy is its extremely underdeveloped small and medium-sized businesses. And it looks like the current tax plans would literally exterminate them.</p>
<p>If Russia were able to reverse this tax policy and make small businesses play as big of a role in the economy as they do in the United States or Europe, there could be economic growth comparable to the growth expected from oil and gas – without all the frightful side effects of an economy driven by fossil fuels.</p>
<p>Sounds like a dream, but the first step to making it a reality can be simple: get rid of big oil lobbying in the government and try to reform the taxation system to suit the interests of Russian citizens instead of the interests of the big oil corporations.</p>
<p>(Edited by <a href="http://www.ips.org/institutional/our-global-structure/biographies/phil-harris/">Phil Harris</a>)</p>
<p><em>* Mikhail Matveev is <a href="http://350.org/">350.org</a> Communications Coordinator for Eastern Europe, Caucasus, Central Asia and Russia</em></p>
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		<title>Churches at the Frontline of Climate Action</title>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 20 Aug 2014 22:29:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Melanie Mattauch</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[Johannes Kapelle has been playing the organ in the Protestant church of Proschim since he was 14. The 78-year-old is actively involved in his community, produces his own solar power and has raised three children with his wife on their farm in Proschim, a small village of 360 inhabitants in Lusatia, Germany. Now the church, [&#8230;]]]></description>
		
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><font color="#999999"><img width="300" height="119" src="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2014/08/open-pit-lignite-mine-Jänschwalde-close-to-Atterwasch-Christian-Huschga-300x119.jpg" class="attachment-medium size-medium wp-post-image" alt="" decoding="async" loading="lazy" srcset="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2014/08/open-pit-lignite-mine-Jänschwalde-close-to-Atterwasch-Christian-Huschga-300x119.jpg 300w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2014/08/open-pit-lignite-mine-Jänschwalde-close-to-Atterwasch-Christian-Huschga-1024x406.jpg 1024w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2014/08/open-pit-lignite-mine-Jänschwalde-close-to-Atterwasch-Christian-Huschga-629x249.jpg 629w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2014/08/open-pit-lignite-mine-Jänschwalde-close-to-Atterwasch-Christian-Huschga-900x357.jpg 900w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" /><p class="wp-caption-text">Jänschwalde open cast lignite mine, close to Atterwasch, Germany. Credit: Christian Huschga</p></font></p><p>By Melanie Mattauch<br />LUSATIA, Germany, Aug 20 2014 (IPS) </p><p>Johannes Kapelle has been playing the organ in the Protestant church of Proschim since he was 14. The 78-year-old is actively involved in his community, produces his own solar power and has raised three children with his wife on their farm in Proschim, a small village of 360 inhabitants in Lusatia, Germany.<span id="more-136245"></span></p>
<p>Now the church, his farm, the forest he loves dearly and his entire village is threatened with demolition to leave space for expansion of Swedish energy giant Vattenfall’s lignite (also known as brown coal) operations to feed its power plants. Nearly all of the fuel carbon (99 percent) in lignite is <a href="http://www.epa.gov/ttnchie1/ap42/ch01/final/c01s07.pdf">converted to CO<sub>2</sub></a> – a major greenhouse gas – during the combustion process.“What we’re seeing today is the result of putting economic thinking at the forefront. Our mantra is to just continue doing things as long as they generate profit. We need to counteract this trend with ethical thinking. We need to do what’s right!” – Protestant pastor Mathias Berndt<br /><font size="1"></font></p>
<p>For Kapelle, this is inconceivable: “In Proschim, we’ve managed effortlessly to supply our community with clean energy by setting up a wind park and a biogas plant. Nowadays, it is just irresponsible to expand lignite mining.”</p>
<p>The desolate landscape the giant diggers leave behind stretches as far as the eye can see from just a few hundred metres outside Proschim.</p>
<p>“It’s only going to take about a quarter of a year to burn the entire coal underneath Proschim. But the land is going to be destroyed forever. You won’t even be able to enter vast areas of land anymore because it will be prone to erosion. You won’t be able to grow anything on that soil anymore either. No potatoes, no tomatoes, nothing,” says Kappelle.</p>
<p>Some 70 km northeast of Proschim, Protestant pastor Mathias Berndt also sees his community under threat. His church in Atterwasch has been around for 700 years and even survived the Thirty Years’ War in the 17th century. Now it is supposed to make way for Vattenfall’s <em>Jänschwalde Nord </em>open cast lignite mine.</p>
<p>The 64-year-old has been Atterwasch’s pastor since 1977 and refuses to accept that his community will be destroyed: “As Christians, we have a responsibility to cultivate and protect God’s creation. That’s what it says in the Bible. We’re pretty good at cultivating but protection is lacking. That’s why I’ve been trying to stop the destruction of nature since the days of the German Democratic Republic.”</p>
<p>“Vattenfall’s plans to expand its mines have given this fight a new dimension,” Berndt adds. “This is now also about preventing our forced displacement.”</p>
<p>Berndt is currently involved in organising a huge protest on August 23 – a <a href="http://www.humanchain.org/en">human chain</a> connecting a German and Polish village threatened by coal mining in the region. He has also been pushing his church to step up its efforts to curb climate change.</p>
<p>As a result, his regional synod has positioned itself against new coal mines, lignite power plants and the demolition of further villages. It is also offering churches advice on energy savings and deploying renewable energy. The parsonage in Atterwasch, for example, has been equipped with solar panels.</p>
<div id="attachment_136250" style="width: 310px" class="wp-caption alignleft"><a href="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2014/08/Parsonage-in-Atterwasch-with-solar-panels-Christian-Huschga.jpg"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-136250" class="size-medium wp-image-136250" src="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2014/08/Parsonage-in-Atterwasch-with-solar-panels-Christian-Huschga-300x225.jpg" alt="Parsonage in Atterwasch with solar panels. Credit: Christian Huschga" width="300" height="225" srcset="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2014/08/Parsonage-in-Atterwasch-with-solar-panels-Christian-Huschga-300x225.jpg 300w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2014/08/Parsonage-in-Atterwasch-with-solar-panels-Christian-Huschga-1024x768.jpg 1024w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2014/08/Parsonage-in-Atterwasch-with-solar-panels-Christian-Huschga-629x472.jpg 629w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2014/08/Parsonage-in-Atterwasch-with-solar-panels-Christian-Huschga-200x149.jpg 200w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2014/08/Parsonage-in-Atterwasch-with-solar-panels-Christian-Huschga-900x675.jpg 900w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2014/08/Parsonage-in-Atterwasch-with-solar-panels-Christian-Huschga.jpg 2000w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" /></a><p id="caption-attachment-136250" class="wp-caption-text">Parsonage in Atterwasch with solar panels. Credit: Christian Huschga</p></div>
<p>Despite Germany’s ambitions for an energy transition, its so-called <em>Energiewende</em>, the country’s CO<sub>2</sub> emissions have been rising again for the past two years, for the first time since the country’s reunification. This is primarily due to Germany’s coal-fired power plants, and brown coal power stations in particular.</p>
<p>The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has recently confirmed that it is still possible to limit global warming below 2° C. But there is only a limited CO<sub>2</sub> budget left to meet this goal and avert runaway climate change.</p>
<p>The IPCC estimates that investments in fossil fuels would need to fall by 30 billion dollars a year, while investments in low-carbon electricity supply would have to increase by 147 billion dollars a year.</p>
<p>As a result, more and more faith leaders are calling for divestment from fossil fuels. One of the most powerful advocates has been Nobel Peace Prize laureate and former South African Anglican Archbishop, Desmond Tutu, who recently <a href="http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2014/apr/10/desmond-tutu-anti-apartheid-style-boycott-fossil-fuel-industry">called</a> for an “anti-apartheid style boycott of the fossil fuel industry”.</p>
<p>Tutu’s call to action has been echoed by U.N. climate chief Christiana Figueres, who has <a href="http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2014/may/07/fossil-fuels-un-climate-chief">urged religious leaders</a> to pull their investments out of fossil fuel companies.</p>
<div id="attachment_136253" style="width: 210px" class="wp-caption alignright"><a href="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2014/08/Mathias-Berndt-Christian-Huschga.jpg"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-136253" class="size-medium wp-image-136253" src="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2014/08/Mathias-Berndt-Christian-Huschga-200x300.jpg" alt="Protestant pastor Mathias Berndt. Credit: Christian Huschga" width="200" height="300" srcset="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2014/08/Mathias-Berndt-Christian-Huschga-200x300.jpg 200w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2014/08/Mathias-Berndt-Christian-Huschga-682x1024.jpg 682w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2014/08/Mathias-Berndt-Christian-Huschga-314x472.jpg 314w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2014/08/Mathias-Berndt-Christian-Huschga-900x1350.jpg 900w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2014/08/Mathias-Berndt-Christian-Huschga.jpg 1168w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 200px) 100vw, 200px" /></a><p id="caption-attachment-136253" class="wp-caption-text">Protestant pastor Mathias Berndt. Credit: Christian Huschga</p></div>
<p>Many churches have taken this step already. Last month, the World Council of Churches, a fellowship of over 300 churches representing some 590 million people in 150 countries, decided to phase out its holdings in fossil fuels and encouraged its members to do the same.</p>
<p>The Quakers in the United Kingdom, the Anglican Church of Aotearoa, New Zealand and Polynesia, the United Church of Christ in the United States, and many more regional and local churches have also joined the divestment movement.</p>
<p>The Church of Sweden was among the first to rid itself of oil and coal investments. It increased investments in energy-efficient and low-carbon projects instead, which also improved its portfolio’s financial performance.</p>
<p>Gunnela Hahn, head of ethical investments at the Church of Sweden’s central office explains: “We realised that many of our largest holdings were within the fossil industry. That catalysed the idea of more closely aligning investments with the ambitious work going on in the rest of the church on climate change. ”</p>
<p>Meanwhile, from the frontline, pastor Berndt calls for putting ethics first: “What we’re seeing today is the result of putting economic thinking at the forefront. Our mantra is to just continue doing things as long as they generate profit. We need to counteract this trend with ethical thinking. We need to do what’s right!”</p>
<p>*  <em>Melanie Mattauch is <a href="http://350.org/">350.org</a> Europe Communications Coordinator</em></p>
<p>(Edited by <a href="http://www.ips.org/institutional/our-global-structure/biographies/phil-harris/">Phil Harris</a>)</p>
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