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		<title>Opinion: The Bumpy Road to an Asian Century</title>
		<link>https://www.ipsnews.net/2015/06/opinion-the-bumpy-road-to-an-asian-century/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Jun 2015 08:06:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Shyam Saran</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ipsnews.net/?p=140894</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In this column, Shyam Saran – a former Foreign Secretary of India, currently Chairman of the R.I.S. think tank and Senior Fellow at the Centre for Policy Research in New Delhi – argues that competing regional trade arrangements and investment regimes in the Indo-Pacific region, with no clarity on the contours of a new and emerging economic architecture, may well stand in the way of making the 21st century the ‘Asian Century’.]]></description>
		
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><font color="#999999"><img width="300" height="174" src="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2015/06/Asia_satellite_plane-300x174.jpg" class="attachment-medium size-medium wp-post-image" alt="" decoding="async" srcset="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2015/06/Asia_satellite_plane-300x174.jpg 300w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2015/06/Asia_satellite_plane-629x365.jpg 629w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2015/06/Asia_satellite_plane.jpg 800w" sizes="(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" /><p class="wp-caption-text">“Just as the world is moving towards multi-polarity, so is Asia … The economic fragmentation of the region and the competitive pursuit of security interests may well consign the Asian Century into a brief interlude rather than a millennial transformation”. Photo credit: Public domain via Wikimedia Commons </p></font></p><p>By Shyam Saran<br />NEW DELHI, Jun 1 2015 (IPS) </p><p>It has been apparent for some time that we are in the midst of a historic shift of the centre of gravity of the global economy from the trans-Atlantic to what is now becoming known as the Indo-Pacific.  <span id="more-140894"></span></p>
<p>This is an emerging centre of economic dynamism and comprises what was earlier confined to the Asia-Pacific but now includes the South Asian region as well.</p>
<p>This is a region which now accounts for nearly 40 percent of world gross domestic product (GDP), which is likely to rise to 50 percent or more by 2050.  Its share of world trade is now 30 percent and growing.</p>
<div id="attachment_127559" style="width: 247px" class="wp-caption alignleft"><a href="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2013/09/SSaran.jpg"><img fetchpriority="high" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-127559" class="size-medium wp-image-127559" src="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2013/09/SSaran-237x300.jpg" alt="Shyam Saran" width="237" height="300" srcset="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2013/09/SSaran-237x300.jpg 237w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2013/09/SSaran.jpg 250w" sizes="(max-width: 237px) 100vw, 237px" /></a><p id="caption-attachment-127559" class="wp-caption-text">Shyam Saran</p></div>
<p>This year, the region has become the largest source of foreign direct investment (FDI), surpassing the European Union (EU) and the United States. China has been the main driver of this historic shift, but other Asian economies have also made significant contributions.</p>
<p>As the Chinese economy begins to slow, India shows promise of regaining an accelerated growth trajectory under a new and decisive political leadership. This will help extend the scale and direction of this shift. Its geopolitical consequences will be profound.</p>
<p>It must be recognised that the economic transformation of Asia, in particular the spectacular growth of China, has been enabled by an unusually extended and liberal global economic environment, underpinned by the faith in globalisation and open markets.</p>
<p>It has also been enabled by a U.S.-led security architecture in the region which kept in check, though did not resolve, the long-standing political fault lines and regional conflicts over competing territorial claims and unresolved disputes.</p>
<p>This relatively benign and supportive economic and security environment is in danger of unravelling precisely at a time when the situation in the region is becoming more complex and challenging.  Paradoxically, this is partly a consequence of the very success of the region in achieving relative economic prosperity.“The danger is that instead of an inclusive and regionally integrated Asia, we may end up with exclusive and competing clusters, moving at different speeds, with different norms and standards.  This may well undermine the very basis of Asia’s economic dynamism”<br /><font size="1"></font></p>
<p>We are witnessing new trends in the region which, unless managed with prudence and foresight, may well sour the prospects of an Asian Century.</p>
<p>The relatively open and liberal trade and investment regime, in particular access to the large consuming markets of the United States, European Union and Japan, is now under serious threat.</p>
<p>Protectionist trends are already visible in these advanced economies as they struggle with prolonged economic stagnation which is the fall-out of the global financial and economic crisis of 2007-2008.</p>
<p>Instead of the consolidation and expansion of the open and inclusive economic architecture that had hitherto been the hallmark of the regional and global economy, we are witnessing its steady fragmentation.</p>
<p>In the Indo-Pacific region, there are competing regional trade arrangements and investment regimes, with no clarity on the contours of a new and emerging economic architecture.</p>
<p>The United States is spearheading its Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) which will include some Asian economies, but not India and China.</p>
<p>China has countered by proposing a free trade area encompassing the current Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) membership.  This will include China and the United States but not India and some of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) economies.</p>
<p>The Regional Cooperation Economic Partnership (RCEP) would include all ASEAN countries plus China, Japan, Republic of Korea, India, Australia and New Zealand, but not the United States.</p>
<p>And finally, there is the East Asia Summit process (EAS) which includes all the above-mentioned countries but also the United States and Russia.</p>
<p>The danger is that instead of an inclusive and regionally integrated Asia, we may end up with exclusive and competing clusters, moving at different speeds, with different norms and standards.  This may well undermine the very basis of Asia’s economic dynamism.</p>
<p>In the security field, too, we are witnessing a growing salience of inter-state tensions and competitive military build-up.</p>
<p>The U.S.-led security architecture remains in place formally but its erstwhile predominance is diminished.</p>
<p>The gap between the military capabilities of China and the United State is closing steadily. As China’s security footprint expands beyond its shores, it will inevitably intersect with the existing deployment of the forces of the United States and its allies and partners.</p>
<p>Faced with an increasingly uncertain security environment and threatened by a more insistent assertion of territorial claims by China, the countries of the region, including Japan, Republic of Korea, members of ASEAN, Australia and India are building up their own defences, in particular maritime capabilities, and this itself is escalating tensions.</p>
<p>There is as yet no emerging regional security architecture which could help manage inter-state tensions in the region. This includes the growing possibilities of confrontation between the United States and China.</p>
<p>In the absence of such a regional security architecture, based on a broad political consensus and a mutually acceptable Code of Conduct, the region may well witness a heightening of tension and even conflict.  These developments would inevitably and adversely impact on the dense network of trade and investment relations that bind the countries of the region together and erode the very basis of their prosperity.</p>
<p>In this context, mention may be made of the Chinese One Belt One Road (OBOR) initiative which seeks to deploy China’s surplus capital to build a vast network of transport and infrastructural links not only across the Indo-Pacific but also straddling the Eurasian landmass.</p>
<p>The newly established Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) initiated and led by China would become a key financing instrument for the OBOR.  China has also recently come out with a new Defence White Paper, which puts forward a new strategy of Open Seas, shifting the emphasis from coastal and near sea defence to an expanding naval presence which matches China’s growing global profile and world-wide location of Chinese-controlled economic assets.</p>
<p>While China’s investment in regional infrastructure in Asia may be welcome, it will inevitably be accompanied by a security dimension which may heighten anxieties among countries in the Asian region and beyond.</p>
<p>It is apparent from the above analysis that it is no longer possible for any major power in the Indo-Pacific to unilaterally seek a position of overweening economic dominance or military pre-eminence of the kind that the United States enjoyed over much of the post-Second World War period.</p>
<p>Just as the world is moving towards multi-polarity, so is Asia.  It is now home to a cluster of major powers with significant economic and security capabilities and interests. The only practical means of avoiding a unilateral and potentially destructive pursuit of economic and security interests would be to put in place an inclusive economic architecture underpinned  by a similarly inclusive security architecture which provides mutual reassurance and shared opportunities for promoting prosperity.</p>
<p>The economic fragmentation of the region and the competitive pursuit of security interests may well consign the Asian Century into a brief interlude rather than a millennial transformation. (END/COLUMNIST SERVICE)</p>
<p><em>Edited by </em><a href="http://www.ips.org/institutional/our-global-structure/biographies/phil-harris/"><em>Phil Harris</em></a><em>   </em></p>
<p><em>The views expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of, and should not be attributed to, IPS &#8211; Inter Press Service. </em></p>
<div id='related_articles'>
 <h1 class="section">Related Articles</h1>
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<li><a href="http://www.ipsnews.net/2015/05/the-asia-pacific-region-is-growing-but-millions-are-living-in-poverty/ " >The Asia-Pacific Region Is ‘Growing’, but Millions Are Living in Poverty</a></li>
<li><a href="http://www.ipsnews.net/2015/04/corruption-in-southeast-asia-said-to-threaten-economic-integration-2/ " >Corruption in Southeast Asia Said to Threaten Economic Integration</a></li>
<li><a href="http://www.ipsnews.net/2014/11/can-chinas-silk-road-vision-coexist-with-a-eurasian-union/ " >Can China’s Silk Road Vision Coexist with a Eurasian Union?</a></li>
</ul></div>		<p>Excerpt: </p>In this column, Shyam Saran – a former Foreign Secretary of India, currently Chairman of the R.I.S. think tank and Senior Fellow at the Centre for Policy Research in New Delhi – argues that competing regional trade arrangements and investment regimes in the Indo-Pacific region, with no clarity on the contours of a new and emerging economic architecture, may well stand in the way of making the 21st century the ‘Asian Century’.]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Opinion: Brazil at the Crossroads</title>
		<link>https://www.ipsnews.net/2015/04/opinion-brazil-at-the-crossroads/</link>
		<comments>https://www.ipsnews.net/2015/04/opinion-brazil-at-the-crossroads/#respond</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 01 Apr 2015 06:45:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Fernando Cardim de Carvalho</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[In this column, Fernando Cardim de Carvalho, economist and professor at the Federal University of Río de Janeiro, looks at the political and economic context within which newly re-elected President Dilma Rousseff is operating and argues that Brazil is living through a very dangerous period, with neither the government nor the parliamentary opposition led by leaders that the population trusts.]]></description>
		
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><font color="#999999"><p class="wp-caption-text">In this column, Fernando Cardim de Carvalho, economist and professor at the Federal University of Río de Janeiro, looks at the political and economic context within which newly re-elected President Dilma Rousseff is operating and argues that Brazil is living through a very dangerous period, with neither the government nor the parliamentary opposition led by leaders that the population trusts.</p></font></p><p>By Fernando J. Cardim de Carvalho<br />RIO DE JANEIRO, Apr 1 2015 (IPS) </p><p>Even moderately well-informed analysts knew that the Brazilian economy was in dire straits as President Dilma Rousseff initiated her second term in office in January.<span id="more-139936"></span></p>
<p>Unlike her predecessor, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (2003-2011), Rousseff had not the same luck with the situation of the international economy. But also, unlike Lula, Rousseff showed herself a poor saleswoman for Brazilian goods and an even poorer manager of domestic economic policy.</p>
<div id="attachment_134417" style="width: 218px" class="wp-caption alignleft"><a href="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2014/05/profile_cardim1.jpg"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-134417" class="size-full wp-image-134417" src="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2014/05/profile_cardim1.jpg" alt="Fernando Cardim de Carvalho" width="208" height="289" /></a><p id="caption-attachment-134417" class="wp-caption-text">Fernando Cardim de Carvalho</p></div>
<p>There was a strong suspicion that economic policy, especially in the last two years of her first term, had been conducted in ad hoc ways and that serious adjustments would be needed to steer the economy back to working condition anyway. Still, the situation seemed to be even worse than most analysts feared.</p>
<p>More surprising, however, is to find out that Brazilian politics is also in dire straits. Caught off guard by the <a href="http://www.economist.com/news/americas/21637437-petrobras-scandal-explained-big-oily">Petrobras corruption scandal</a>, federal authorities, beginning with Rousseff herself, seemed to become paralysed by the rapid fall in public support, completely losing the power of initiative and creating a dangerous political vacuum in the country.</p>
<p>It is a vacuum rather than a political threat because the opposition seems to be as lost as the president. The political right, never very fond of democratic institutions any way, seemed to be more interested in making the president “bleed” – as <a href="http://www.valor.com.br/international/news/3945202/psdb-leader-wants-rousseff-government-bleed-ahead-2018-vote">stated</a> by Senator (and former vice-presidential candidate) Aloysio Nunes Ferreira, of the Brazilian Social Democracy Party – than with fighting for political hegemony.</p>
<p>Economic problems were certainly fostered by the quality of economic policy-making in the second half of Rousseff’s first term. The realisation that tailwinds created by the Chinese demand for raw materials were no longer blowing led the government to implement a series of measures to stimulate the economy that turned out to be largely useless.</p>
<p>It was not “heterodoxy” that characterised the policy, it was uninformed wishful thinking. A plethora of measures were taken in isolation, without any apparent unifying strategy behind them, distributed mostly as “gifts” from the federal government (which later contributed to the public perception that corruption became a system of government). “Brazil is living through a very dangerous period right now. Neither the government, nor the parliamentary opposition are led by leaders the population trusts”<br /><font size="1"></font></p>
<p>Plagued by semi-structural exchange rate problems, whereby Brazilian producers lose competitiveness in the face of imported goods in domestic markets and of other sellers in international markets, the federal administration tried to deal with them piecemeal, mostly through instruments like tax reductions or changes in tax rates.</p>
<p>Obsessed with car production, the government burned resources trying to stimulate production (only to meet increasing resistance of other countries to import them, most notably Argentina), again without any strategy thinking about how these newly-produced automobiles would be used in polluted and traffic-jammed Brazilian cities.</p>
<p>The federal government was not deficient only in terms of strategic thinking but also in terms of home caretaking: all available evidence points to the high probability that tax reductions and other similar measures were decided without any calculation of costs, lost fiscal revenues, and so on.</p>
<p>Anti-cyclical macroeconomic policy in late 2008 relied to a large extent on the expansion of consumption expenditures fuelled by increasing household indebtedness. The increase in non-performing loans and income stagnation made this option more and more unsustainable. Investment, in contrast, public and private, repeatedly frustrated expectations.</p>
<p>Unable to finance badly needed infrastructure investments, the government showed itself to be extraordinarily slow in devising appropriate strategies to attract private investors to implement them. Apparently lost in their own inability to define a way out of the mess, the government “muddled through” situations where more forceful definitions were required, as was the case of electric power.</p>
<p>The list of failures or of situations where the government showed inability to lead is long and well known. What was surprising to some extent was to find out that all evidence suggests that the government itself was unaware of what was going on.</p>
<p>Winning re-election by a narrow margin, President Rousseff, characteristically after a long period of hesitation, decided to take a 180-degree turn, asking a known orthodox and fiscal conservative economist to head an empowered Ministry of Finance, surprising even her supporters who seemed to be perplexed by the need to defend policies that they hotly denounced when presented by opposition politicians.</p>
<p>This picture would be difficult enough to manage without the Petrobras scandal. But Petrobras is not only the largest company in the country, it is practically a symbol of the nationality. Besides, energy was supposed to be Rousseff’s area of expertise and she was in fact responsible for the company’s policies for a while, as Minister of Mines and Power.</p>
<p>An increasingly loud murmur of a possible impeachment of the president led her to equivocal political decisions, beginning with the definition of her cabinet, widely considered to be particularly low quality, and alienating not only her major party in government, the Brazilian Democratic Movement Party, but even the majority of her own <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Workers%27_Party_%28Brazil%29">Workers’ Party</a>.</p>
<p>The result of such initiatives was illustrated by the twin public demonstrations of Mar. 13 and 15.</p>
<p>On Mar. 13, nominal supporters of Rousseff marched through the streets of most of the largest cities in the country. Speaking to the press, most of the leaders of the march (Lula did not participate) declared conditional support for Rousseff – that is, conditional on the firing of the Minister of Finance and change of newly announced austerity policies.</p>
<p>On Mar. 15, an even larger crowd marched in the same cities declaring unconditional opposition to the president.</p>
<p>Brazil is living through a very dangerous period right now. Neither the government, nor the parliamentary opposition are led by leaders the population trusts. The president is slow and generally equivocal when making fateful decisions. The right-wing opposition seemed to be more interested in enjoying the possibility of enacting a “third” ballot to obtain at least a moral condemnation of the president.</p>
<p>This would be bad enough for a country that has just celebrated thirty years of civilian government. When the economy adds its own heavy problems to the political vacuum, it is impossible not to fear the future. (END/IPS COLUMNIST  SERVICE)</p>
<p><em>Edited by </em><a href="http://www.ips.org/institutional/our-global-structure/biographies/phil-harris/"><em>Phil Harris</em></a><em>   </em></p>
<p><em>The views expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of, and should not be attributed to, IPS &#8211; Inter Press Service. </em></p>
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<li><a href="http://www.ipsnews.net/2014/10/opinion-rousseff-re-elected-president-what-lies-ahead-for-brazil/ " >OPINION: Rousseff Re-elected President – What Lies Ahead for Brazil?</a> – Column by Fernando Cardim de Carvalho</li>
<li><a href="http://www.ipsnews.net/2014/05/tailwind-brazilian-economy-doldrums-2/ " >With No Tailwind, Brazilian Economy In The Doldrums</a> – Column by Fernando Cardim de Carvalho</li>
<li><a href="http://www.ipsnews.net/2014/07/cash-transfers-drive-human-development-in-brazil/ " >Cash Transfers Drive Human Development in Brazil</a></li>
</ul></div>		<p>Excerpt: </p>In this column, Fernando Cardim de Carvalho, economist and professor at the Federal University of Río de Janeiro, looks at the political and economic context within which newly re-elected President Dilma Rousseff is operating and argues that Brazil is living through a very dangerous period, with neither the government nor the parliamentary opposition led by leaders that the population trusts.]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>High-Tech to the Rescue of Southern Africa’s Smallholder Farmers</title>
		<link>https://www.ipsnews.net/2015/03/high-tech-to-the-rescue-of-southern-africas-smallholder-farmers/</link>
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		<pubDate>Sun, 22 Mar 2015 12:50:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Kwame Buist</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ipsnews.net/?p=139810</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Agriculture is the major employer and a backbone of the economies of Southern Africa. However, the rural areas that support an agriculture-based livelihood system for the majority of the nearly 270 million people living in the region are typically fragile and there is wide variability in the development challenges facing the countries of the region. [&#8230;]]]></description>
		
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><font color="#999999"><img width="300" height="200" src="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2015/03/16647862879_0974f2a5d4_b-300x200.jpg" class="attachment-medium size-medium wp-post-image" alt="" decoding="async" loading="lazy" srcset="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2015/03/16647862879_0974f2a5d4_b-300x200.jpg 300w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2015/03/16647862879_0974f2a5d4_b.jpg 1024w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2015/03/16647862879_0974f2a5d4_b-629x420.jpg 629w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2015/03/16647862879_0974f2a5d4_b-900x600.jpg 900w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" /><p class="wp-caption-text">The Dube AgriZone facility currently incorporates 16 hectares of greenhouses, making it the largest climate-controlled growing area under glass in Africa. Credit: FAO</p></font></p><p>By Kwame Buist<br />DURBAN, South Africa, Mar 22 2015 (IPS) </p><p>Agriculture is the major employer and a backbone of the economies of Southern Africa.<span id="more-139810"></span></p>
<p>However, the rural areas that support an agriculture-based livelihood system for the majority of the nearly 270 million people living in the region are typically fragile and there is wide variability in the development challenges facing the countries of the region.</p>
<p>The agricultural sector is dominated by crop production, although the share of livestock production and other agriculture practices have been increasing.Chronic and acute food insecurity remain major risks and Southern Africa still faces enormous challenges in trying to transform and commercialise its largely small holder-based agricultural systems through accelerated integration into competitive markets in a rapidly globalising world<br /><font size="1"></font></p>
<p>Chronic and acute food insecurity remain major risks and Southern Africa still faces enormous challenges in trying to transform and commercialise its largely smallholder-based agricultural systems through accelerated integration into competitive markets in a rapidly globalising world.</p>
<p>These and other challenges facing the sector were the focus of a three-day meeting (Mar. 10-12) in Durban of management and experts from the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), which ended with a call to prioritise broad-based partnerships and build synergies to provide countries with effective and efficient support in the agriculture sector.</p>
<p>In an annual event designed to provide a platform for discussion and exchange of information on best practices and the general performance of FAO programmes in the region, David Phiri, FAO Sub-Regional Coordinator for Southern Africa, reiterated the importance of different sectors working together.</p>
<p>“Achieving food and nutrition security in Southern Africa is a challenge far too great for any government or FAO to overcome alone,” he said. “As well as the governments of developing and developed countries, the civil society, private sector and international development agencies must be involved. Above all, the people themselves need to be empowered to manage their own development.”</p>
<p><strong>Building on what works</strong></p>
<p>As one example of the best practices under the scrutiny of the meeting, participants took part in a field visit to the <a href="http://agrizone.dubetradeport.co.za/Pages/Home">Dube AgriZone</a> facility – a high-tech agricultural development initiative pioneered by the KwaZulu-Natal Provincial Government.</p>
<p>The facility aims to stimulate the growth of KwaZulu-Natal&#8217;s perishables sector and aims to achieve improved agricultural yields, consistent quality, year-round production and improved management of disease and pests.</p>
<p>The facility – strategically located 30 km north of the important coastal city of Durban – currently incorporates 16 hectares of greenhouses, making it the largest climate-controlled growing area under glass in Africa.</p>
<p>Its primary focus is on the production of short shelf-life vegetables and cut flowers which require immediate post-harvest airlifting and supply to both domestic and export markets.</p>
<p>In addition to its greenhouses, the facility offers dedicated post-harvest packing houses, a central packing and distribution centre, a nursery and the Dube AgriLab, a sophisticated plant tissue culture laboratory.</p>
<p>Dube AgriZone is an eco-friendly facility, adopting a range of &#8216;green&#8217; initiatives to offset its environmental impact, including rainwater harvesting, use of solar energy, on-site waste management, and the growth of indigenous plants for rehabilitation efforts.</p>
<p>Dube AgriZone provides growers with the potential to achieve improved agricultural yields, consistency of produce quality, close management of disease and pest infestation and year-round crop production with a view to improved sustainability and enhanced agricultural competitiveness.</p>
<p>“I could never have been able put up such a facility and produce at the current scale were it not for this innovative AgriZone,” said Derrick Baird, owner of Qutom Farms, which currently produces 150,000 cucumbers in the glass greenhouse leased from Dube AgriZone.</p>
<p>“This high-tech facility with all the necessary facilities – including transportation and freight – has allowed us to concentrate on producing cucumbers at much lower costs than in other locations where we had previously tried.”</p>
<p>The partnership between the provincial government and the private sector behind the facility was hailed as an example of a success story that could offer valuable lessons to others across Southern Africa.</p>
<p>“There is plenty we can learn from this facility and perhaps one of the more important ones is on forming partnerships and alliances,” said Tobias Takavarasha, FAO Representative in South Africa.</p>
<p>“We need to build on what is working by adopting and adapting technologies to the local situation, and then scaling them upwards and outwards to achieve even better results,” he added.</p>
<p><em>Edited by </em><a href="http://www.ips.org/institutional/our-global-structure/biographies/phil-harris/"><em>Phil Harris</em></a><em>    </em></p>
<div id='related_articles'>
 <h1 class="section">Related Articles</h1>
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<li><a href="http://www.ipsnews.net/2012/07/southern-africa-fruit-and-vegetables-come-here/ " >Southern Africa’s Fruit and Vegetables Come Here</a></li>
<li><a href="http://www.ipsnews.net/2013/08/southern-africa-shows-the-way-with-water/ " >Southern Africa Shows the Way With Water</a></li>
<li><a href="http://www.ipsnews.net/2013/06/dreaming-big-but-who-will-fund-southern-africas-infrastructure-plans/ " >Dreaming Big – But Who Will Fund Southern Africa’s Infrastructure Plans?</a></li>
</ul></div>		]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Opinion: What if Youth Now Fight for Social Change, But From the Right?</title>
		<link>https://www.ipsnews.net/2015/03/opinion-what-if-youth-now-fight-for-social-change-but-from-the-right/</link>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 21 Mar 2015 17:58:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Roberto Savio</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ipsnews.net/?p=139808</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In this column, Roberto Savio, founder and president emeritus of the Inter Press Service (IPS) news agency and publisher of Other News, takes young voters’ support for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in the Mar. 17 elections as the starting point for looking at how young people in Europe are moving to the right.]]></description>
		
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><font color="#999999"><p class="wp-caption-text">In this column, Roberto Savio, founder and president emeritus of the Inter Press Service (IPS) news agency and publisher of Other News, takes young voters’ support for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in the Mar. 17 elections as the starting point for looking at how young people in Europe are moving to the right.</p></font></p><p>By Roberto Savio<br />ROME, Mar 21 2015 (IPS) </p><p>The “surprise” re-election of incumbent Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in the Mar. 17 elections has been met with a flood of media comment on the implications for the region and the rest of the world.<span id="more-139808"></span></p>
<p>However, one of the reasons for Netanyahu’s victory has dramatically slipped the attention of most – the support he received from young Israelis.</p>
<p>According to the Israeli daily Haaretz, 200,000 last-minute voters decided to switch their vote to Netanyahu’s Likud party due to the “fear factor” and most of these were voters under the age of 35.</p>
<div id="attachment_118283" style="width: 310px" class="wp-caption alignleft"><a href="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2013/04/RSavio0976.jpg"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-118283" class="size-full wp-image-118283" src="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2013/04/RSavio0976.jpg" alt="Roberto Savio" width="300" height="205" /></a><p id="caption-attachment-118283" class="wp-caption-text">Roberto Savio</p></div>
<p>Perhaps the “fear factor” was actually an expression of the “Masada factor”. Masada is a strong element in Israeli history and collective imagination. The inhabitants of the mountain fortress of Masada, besieged by Roman legions at the time of Emperor Tito’s conquest of the Israeli state, preferred collective suicide to surrender.</p>
<p>Israelis today feel besieged by hostile neighbouring countries (first of all Iran), the continuous onslaught by the Caliphate and the Islamic State, overwhelming negative international opinion and growing abandonment by the United States.</p>
<p>Netanyahu played a number of cards to bring about his last-minute election success, including his speech to the Republican-dominated U.S. Congress on Mar. 3, which was seen by many Israelis as an act of defiance and dignity, not a weakening of fundamental relations with the United States.</p>
<p>His support for Israeli settlers in the West Bank and Gaza, his denial of the creation of a Palestinian state and his show of contempt for an international community unable to understand Israel’s fears led Netanyahu’s Likud party to victory.</p>
<p>In Israel, being left-wing mean accepting a Palestinian state, being right-wing means denying it. In the end, the Mar. 17 vote was the result of fear.“Taking refuge in parties that preach a return to a country’s ‘glorious’ past, blocking immigrants who are stealing jobs and Muslims who are challenging the traditional homogeneity of society, country … is an easy way out”<br /><font size="1"></font></p>
<p>Israeli’s young people are not alone in moving to the right as a reaction to fear. It is interesting to note that all right-wing parties which have become relevant in Europe are based on fear.</p>
<p>Growing social inequality, the unprecedented phenomenon of youth unemployment, cuts in public services such as education and health, corruption which has become a cancer with daily scandals, and the general feeling of a lack of clear response from the political institutions to the problems opened up by a globalisation based on markets and not on citizens are all phenomena which are affecting young people.</p>
<p>“When you were like us at university, you knew you would find a job – we know we will not find one,” was how one student put it at a conference of the Society for International Development that I attended.</p>
<p>“The United Nations has lost the ability to be a place of governance, the financial system is without checks and corporations have a power which goes over national governments,” the student continued. “So, you see, the world of today is very different one from the one in which you grew up.”</p>
<p>As Josep Ramoneda <a href="http://politica.elpais.com/politica/2015/03/18/actualidad/1426704204_367340.html">wrote</a> in El Pais of Mar. 18: “We expected that governments would submit markets to democracy and it turns out that what they do is adapt democracy to markets, that is, empty it little by little.</p>
<p>This is why many of those of who vote for right-wing parties in Europe are young people – be it for the National Front in France, the U.K. Independence Party (UKIP) in Britain, the Lega Nord (North League) in Italy, the AfD (Alternative for Germany) in Germany and Golden Dawn in Greece, among others.</p>
<p>Taking refuge in parties that preach a return to a country’s “glorious” past, blocking immigrants who are stealing jobs and Muslims who are challenging the traditional homogeneity of society, country, and bringing back to the nation space and functions which have been delegated to an obtuse and arrogant bureaucracy in Brussels which has not been elected and is not therefore accountable to citizens, is an easy way out.</p>
<p>This is a major – but ignored – epochal change. It was long held that an historic function of youth was to act as a factor for change … now it is fast becoming a factor for the status quo. The traditional political system no longer has youth movements and its poor performance in front of the global challenges that countries face today makes young people distrustful and distant.</p>
<p>It is an easy illusion to flock to parties which want to fight against changes which look ominous, even negative. It also partially explains why some young Europeans are running to the Islamic State which promise a change to restore the dignity of Muslims dignity and whose agenda is to destroy dictators and sheiks who are in cohort with the international system and are all corrupt and intent on enriching themselves, instead of taking care of their youth.</p>
<p>What can young people think of President Erdogan of Turkey building a presidential palace with 1,000 rooms or the European Central Bank inaugurating headquarters which cost 1,200 million euro, just to give two examples? And what of the fact that the 10 richest men in the world increased their wealth in 2013 alone by an amount equivalent to the combined budgets of Brazil and Canada?</p>
<p>This generational change should be a transversal concern for all parties but what is happening instead is that the welfare state is continuing to suffer cuts. According to the International Labour Organization (ILO), young people in the 18-23 age group will retire with an average pension of 650 euro. What kind of society will that be?</p>
<p>Without the safety net now being provided by parents and grandparents, how can young people in such a society avoid feeling left out?</p>
<p>We always thought young people would fight for social change, but what if they are now doing so from the right?</p>
<p><em>Edited by </em><a href="http://www.ips.org/institutional/our-global-structure/biographies/phil-harris/"><em>Phil Harris</em></a><em>   </em></p>
<p><em>The views expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of, and should not be attributed to, IPS &#8211; Inter Press Service. </em></p>
<div id='related_articles'>
 <h1 class="section">Related Articles</h1>
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<li><a href="http://www.ipsnews.net/2013/10/the-west-shifting-to-the-right-to-the-beat-of-the-crisis/ " >The West, Shifting to the Right to the Beat of the Crisis</a></li>
<li><a href="http://www.ipsnews.net/2013/07/europes-youth-count-ten-times-less-than-its-banks/ " >Europe’s Youth Count Ten Times Less than Its Banks</a> &#8211; Column by Roberto Savio</li>
<li><a href="http://www.ipsnews.net/2014/11/opinion-the-irresistible-attraction-of-radical-islam/ " >OPINION: The Irresistible Attraction of Radical Islam</a> &#8211; Column by Roberto Savio</li>
</ul></div>		<p>Excerpt: </p>In this column, Roberto Savio, founder and president emeritus of the Inter Press Service (IPS) news agency and publisher of Other News, takes young voters’ support for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in the Mar. 17 elections as the starting point for looking at how young people in Europe are moving to the right.]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Good Harvest Fails to Dent Rising Hunger in Zimbabwe</title>
		<link>https://www.ipsnews.net/2015/01/good-harvest-fails-to-dent-rising-hunger-in-zimbabwe/</link>
		<comments>https://www.ipsnews.net/2015/01/good-harvest-fails-to-dent-rising-hunger-in-zimbabwe/#respond</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 29 Jan 2015 18:41:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Busani Bafana</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ipsnews.net/?p=138912</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[With agriculture as one of the drivers of economic growth, Zimbabwe needs to invest in the livelihoods of smallholder farmers who keep the country fed, experts say. Agriculture currently contributes nearly 20 percent to Zimbabwe&#8217;s gross domestic product (GDP), due largely to export earnings from tobacco production. More than 80,000 farmers have registered to grow [&#8230;]]]></description>
		
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><font color="#999999"><img width="300" height="200" src="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2015/01/Markets-are-critical-to-the-success-of-smallholder-farmers-credit-Busani-Bafana-IPS-300x200.jpg" class="attachment-medium size-medium wp-post-image" alt="" decoding="async" loading="lazy" srcset="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2015/01/Markets-are-critical-to-the-success-of-smallholder-farmers-credit-Busani-Bafana-IPS-300x200.jpg 300w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2015/01/Markets-are-critical-to-the-success-of-smallholder-farmers-credit-Busani-Bafana-IPS-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2015/01/Markets-are-critical-to-the-success-of-smallholder-farmers-credit-Busani-Bafana-IPS-629x419.jpg 629w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2015/01/Markets-are-critical-to-the-success-of-smallholder-farmers-credit-Busani-Bafana-IPS-900x600.jpg 900w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" /><p class="wp-caption-text">Markets are critical to the success of Zimbabwe’s smallholder farmers. Credit: Busani Bafana/IPS</p></font></p><p>By Busani Bafana<br />BULAWAYO, Zimbabwe, Jan 29 2015 (IPS) </p><p>With agriculture as one of the drivers of economic growth, Zimbabwe needs to invest in the livelihoods of smallholder farmers who keep the country fed, experts say.<span id="more-138912"></span></p>
<p>Agriculture currently contributes nearly 20 percent to Zimbabwe&#8217;s gross domestic product (GDP), due largely to export earnings from tobacco production. More than 80,000 farmers have registered to grow the plant this season.</p>
<p>But, even as tobacco harvests expand, food shortages continue to plague Zimbabwe, most dramatically since 2000 when agricultural production missed targets following a controversial land reform that took land from white farmers and distributed it to black Zimbabweans.Food shortages continue to plague Zimbabwe, most dramatically since 2000 when agricultural production missed targets following a controversial land reform that took land from white farmers and distributed it to black Zimbabweans<br /><font size="1"></font></p>
<p>Depressed production has been blamed on droughts, but poor support to farmers has also contributed to food deficits and the need to import the staple maize grain annually.</p>
<p>Last year, the World Food Programme (WFP) <a href="http://www.wfp.org/news/news-release/united-states-provides-more-help-zimbabwe%E2%80%99s-hungry-families">reported</a> that “hunger is at a five-year high in Zimbabwe with one-quarter of the rural population, equivalent to 2.2 million people, estimated to be facing food shortages &#8230;”</p>
<p>The report was dismissed by Zimbabwe’s deputy agricultural minister, Paddington Zhanda, who said that “the numbers [of those in need] are exaggerated. There is no crisis. If there was a crisis, we would have appealed for help as we have in the past. We are in for one of the best harvests we have had in years.”</p>
<p>WFP had planned to reach 1.8 million people out of the 2.2 million hungry people during the current period, but funding shortages meant that only 1.2 million were helped.</p>
<p>Last year, the government stepped in with maize bought from neighbouring countries. That year, Zimbabwe topped the list of maize meal importers, with imports from South Africa at 482 metric tons between July and September 2014. Only the Democratic Republic of Congo imported more maize meal during that time.</p>
<p>Agricultural economist Peter Gambara, who spoke with IPS, estimated that over one billion dollars is required to reach a target of two million hectares planted with maize.</p>
<p>“It costs about 800 dollars to produce a hectare of maize, so two million hectares will require about 1.6 billion dollars,” he said.</p>
<p>“However, the government only sponsors part of the inputs required, through the Presidential Inputs Scheme, the rest of the inputs come from private contractors, the farmers themselves, as well as from remittances from children and relatives in towns and in the diaspora.”</p>
<p>These inputs include fertilizer and maize seed. Zimbabwe Commercial Farmers’ Union president Wonder Chabikwa said he was worried that many farmers could fail to purchase inputs on the open market due to liquidity problems. Totally free inputs were ended in 2013.</p>
<p>Linking agriculture to the reduction of poverty was one of the first Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) with a target of cutting poverty in half by 2015. In fact, all MDGs have direct or indirect linkages with agriculture. Agriculture contributes to the first MDG through agriculture-led economic growth and through improved nutrition.</p>
<p>In low-income countries economic growth, which enables increased employment and rising wages, is the only means by which the poor will be able to satisfy their needs sustainably.</p>
<div id="attachment_138913" style="width: 210px" class="wp-caption alignleft"><a href="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2015/01/Smallholder-farmers-in-Africa-need-adequate-and-appropriate-input-to-improve-their-productivity-Credit-Busani-Bafana-IPS.jpg"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-138913" class="wp-image-138913 size-medium" src="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2015/01/Smallholder-farmers-in-Africa-need-adequate-and-appropriate-input-to-improve-their-productivity-Credit-Busani-Bafana-IPS-200x300.jpg" alt="Smallholder farmers in Zimbabwe need adequate and appropriate input to improve their productivity. Credit: Busani Bafana/IPS" width="200" height="300" srcset="https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2015/01/Smallholder-farmers-in-Africa-need-adequate-and-appropriate-input-to-improve-their-productivity-Credit-Busani-Bafana-IPS-200x300.jpg 200w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2015/01/Smallholder-farmers-in-Africa-need-adequate-and-appropriate-input-to-improve-their-productivity-Credit-Busani-Bafana-IPS-683x1024.jpg 683w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2015/01/Smallholder-farmers-in-Africa-need-adequate-and-appropriate-input-to-improve-their-productivity-Credit-Busani-Bafana-IPS-315x472.jpg 315w, https://www.ipsnews.net/Library/2015/01/Smallholder-farmers-in-Africa-need-adequate-and-appropriate-input-to-improve-their-productivity-Credit-Busani-Bafana-IPS-900x1350.jpg 900w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 200px) 100vw, 200px" /></a><p id="caption-attachment-138913" class="wp-caption-text">Smallholder farmers in Zimbabwe need adequate and appropriate inputs to improve their productivity. Credit: Busani Bafana/IPS</p></div>
<p>&#8220;Government should invest in irrigation, infrastructure like roads and storage facilities,&#8221; Gambara told IPS. &#8220;By supplying inputs through the Presidential Inputs Scheme, Government has done more than it should for small-scale farmers. This scheme resulted in the country achieving a surplus 1.4 million tonnes of maize last year.&#8221;</p>
<p>The surplus was linked, explained Agriculture Minister Joseph Made, to good rainfall.</p>
<p>Marketing of their produce is the biggest challenge facing farmers, said Gambara, who recommended the regulation of public produce markets like Mbare Musika in Harare through the Agricultural Marketing Authority (AMA).</p>
<p>Gambara maintains that the government should provide free inputs to the elderly, orphaned and other disadvantaged in society and consider loaning the rest of the small-scale farmers inputs that they will repay after marketing their crops.</p>
<p>&#8220;That will help the country rebuild the Strategic Grain Reserve (SGR), managed by the Grain Marketing Board,” he said. “However, the government has not been able to pay farmers on time for delivered produce and this is an area that it should improve on. It does not make sense to make farmers produce maize if those farmers fail to sell the maize.&#8221;</p>
<p>In the <a href="http://www.nepad.org/nepad/knowledge/doc/1787/maputo-declaration">Maputo Declaration on Agriculture and Food Security in Africa</a> of 2003, African heads of state and governments pledged to improve agricultural and rural development through investments. The Maputo Declaration contained several important decisions regarding agriculture, but prominent among them was the “commitment to the allocation of at least 10 percent of national budgetary resources to agriculture and rural development policy implementation within five years”.</p>
<p>Only a few of the 54 African Union (AU) member states have made this investment in the last 10 years. These include Burkina Faso, Ghana, Guinea, Mali, Niger, Ethiopia, Malawi and Senegal.</p>
<p>According to Gambara, as a signatory to the Maputo Declaration, Zimbabwe should have done more to channel resources to agriculture since 2000 when the country embarked on the second phase of land reform.</p>
<p>&#8220;Most of these (new) black farmers did not have the resources and knowledge to farm like the previous white farmers and such a scenario would demand that the government invests in research and extension to impart knowledge to the new farmers as well as provide schemes that empower these farmers, for example through farm mechanisation and provision of inputs,” he said.</p>
<p>Everson Ndlovu, development researcher with the Institute of Development Studies at Zimbabwe’s National University of Science and Technology, told IPS that government should invest in dam construction, research in water harvesting technologies, livestock development, education and training, land audits and restoration of infrastructure.</p>
<p>Ndlovu said there were signs that European and other international financial institutions were ready to assist Zimbabwe but a poor political and economic environment has kept many at a distance.</p>
<p>&#8220;The political environment has to change to facilitate proper business transactions, we need to create a conducive environment for business to play its part,&#8221; said Ndlovu. &#8220;Government should give farmers title deeds if farmers are to unlock resources and funding from local banks.”</p>
<p>Economic analyst John Robertson asked why the government should finance farmers which would be unnecessary if it had allowed land to have a market value and ordinary people to be land owners in order to use their land as bank security to finance themselves.</p>
<p>&#8220;Ever since the land reform, we have had to import most of our food,&#8221; Robertson told IPS. &#8220;Government should be spending money on infrastructural development that would help agriculture and other industries.&#8221;</p>
<p>Before the land reform, continued Robertson, Zimbabwe had nearly one million communal farmers, a number that increased by about 150,000 under Land Reform A1 and A2 allocations.</p>
<p>‘A1’ farms handed out about 150,000 plots of six hectares to smallholders by dividing up large white farms, while the ‘A2’ component sought to create large black commercial farms by handing over much larger areas of land to about 23,000 farmers.</p>
<p>&#8220;Only a few farms are being run on a scale that would encompass larger hectarage and that is basically because the farmers cannot employ the labour needed if they cannot borrow money,&#8221; Robertson said.</p>
<p>&#8220;Loans are needed to pay staff for the many months that work is needed but the farm has no income, so most smallholders work to the limits of their families’ labour input. That keeps them small and relatively poor.&#8221;</p>
<p><em>Edited by Lisa Vives/</em><a href="http://www.ips.org/institutional/our-global-structure/biographies/phil-harris/"><em>Phil Harris</em></a><em>    </em></p>
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