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HEALTH-SOUTH AFRICA: HIV-Related Deaths Slow Economy

CAPE TOWN , Jan 27 2012 (IPS) - If there was no HIV/AIDS, South Africa would have 4.4 million more people than today, the size of a major city. This significant slow-down in population growth is causing a slow down in economic growth and resulting in social ills, researchers warn.

HIV/AIDS has caused a steady increase in the number of orphans in South Africa.  Credit: Kristin Palitza/IPS

HIV/AIDS has caused a steady increase in the number of orphans in South Africa. Credit: Kristin Palitza/IPS

New data by research organisation South African Institute for Race Relations (SAIRR) show that South Africa should theoretically count 55 million citizens this year. But it only has a population of 50.6 million.

By 2040, the country’s population would have been 77.5 million without AIDS – 24.1 million more people than is projected for that year.

“The decrease of population growth has a negative impact on South Africa, because the group most affected by HIV and AIDS is aged between 15 and 49 years, which is the most productive part of the population,” explains SAIRR researcher Thuthukani Ndebele of the date published on Jan. 23.

“If this age group continues to die early, we will see an acute social and economic impact throughout the country,” he warns. South Africa was quickly losing large chunks of its workforce and skills, which led to loss of productivity.


The institute’s analysis – which is based on statistics sourced from the Actuarial Society of South Africa and the South African Institute for Futures Research – shows that almost a third of all deaths in 2011 were AIDS- related. By 2025, this proportion is expected to rise to a whopping 121 percent more AIDS deaths than there were in 2000, according to SAIRR.

Economic experts have no doubt that this will slow down economic growth. “An epidemic like this one, that effects a large proportion of the population, has undeniably a negative economic impact,” confirms David Hornsby, a researcher of the Department of International Relations at the University of the Witwatersrand in Johannesburg. “It limits the amount of educated and skilled people who participate in production, entrepreneurism, innovation and development.”

SAIRR further predicts that the total number of people living with HIV/AIDS will reach six million in 2015, which is double the number recorded in 2000. “This should be a serious wake-up call for South Africa. It would be a serious crisis for the country’s economic and social development to reach such a high number of HIV infections and related deaths,” says Hornsby.

Not only does HIV/AIDS reduce life expectancy and increase mortality, but it is largely responsible for wider social ills such as orphanhood and child-headed households. In 2009, about two million South African children had lost one or both parents, according to United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF).

“Almost a third of South Africa’s population, or 31 percent, is under the age of 15 today,” highlights UNICEF chief of child survival and development Dr. Siobhan Crowley. “This signifies a serious population imbalance. And the South African government is struggling to provide the support those young people need, in terms of education, social welfare and health services.”

The large number of orphans in this age group as well as households led by grandparents have started to create an increased level of dependency on the social welfare system, which demands an ever bigger growing slice of the country’s national budget.

South African social welfare organisations confirm persistently increasing levels of destitution due to HIV/AIDS. “The numbers of families in need, people who are unable to meet their most basic needs, are growing continously,” cautions Bernice Roeland, director of Cape Town-based non-governmental organisation AIDS Response.

She worries that without a concerted effort to prevent new HIV infections and handle existing infections more effectively, the future burden on South Africa’s social welfare system will soon become unbearable.

“Issues like social welfare, health, food security, poverty and housing are all tightly interlinked,” says Roeland. “If the long-term investments in our people, especially in our children, are not thorough enough, the social system might eventually collapse.”

SAIRR researchers say they are particularly concerned about the increased burden HIV/AIDS will have on the public health system. According to the World Bank, South African spent almost nine percent of its GDP on health in 2009 – almost double the amount than most developed nations. This percentage might increase in the near future even further.

“Nine percent a significant amount. Health budgets might have to increase even further, if governments wants to prevent HIV/AIDS having an even more negative impact on the economy than it already has,” says Ndebele, pointing out that because HIV-positive people live longer due to live-saving treatment with antiretroviral (ARV) medication, they also incur large amounts of health care expenditure before their deaths. “AIDS deaths therefore cost government a lot of money. It’s not like dying in a car accident,” says Ndebele.

But there is also an upside: increased access to ARV treatment does help HIV-positive adults to stay economically active for longer, thus alleviating other costs to the social system.

Experts from research, economic and social sectors therefore all stressed the urgent need to make a bigger effort to prevent new HIV infections – as the only way to effectively reduce the costs of the illness places on society.

Says Ndebele: “South Africa has 0.7 percent of the world population but accounts for about 17 percent of all HIV cases globally. That correlation is worrying and needs to change.”

 
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  • ana prensal

    Hi, I work in a communication company I want to share my testimony to the world, my name is ana pensal, i am from united kingdom in belfast north ireland, I was a stripper in a club I got effected with HIV due to the nature of my job, In april 15 2013 i was tested positive to HIV, This is not design to convince you but its just a personal health experience . I never taught doctor lawcy could ever get my HIV-AIDS cured with his healing herb spell, i have tried almost everything but I couldn’t find any solution on my disease, despite all these happening to me, i always spend a lot to buy a HIV drugs from hospital and taking some several medications but no relieve, until one day i was just browsing on the internet when i came across a great post of !Michelle! who truly said that she was been diagnose with HIV and was healed that very week through the help of this great powerful healing spell doctor ,I wonder why he is called the great papa lawcy, i never knew it was all because of the great and perfect work that he has been doing that is causing all this. so I quickly contacted him, and he ask me some few questions and so i did all the things he asked me to do,He ask me to buy some herbs and which I did for my cure,only to see that at the very day which he said i will be healed, all the strength that has left me before rush back and i becomes very strong and healthy, this disease almost kills my life all because of me, so i went to hospital to give the final test to the disease and the doctor said i am HIV negative, i am very amazed and happy about the healing doctor lawcy gave to me from the ancient part of africa, you can email him now for your own healing too on his email: drlawcyspellhome@gmail.com………………

  • franker

    FREE FROM HIV/AIDS
    I was afflicted with HIV/AIDS and
    involuntary closure of the right eye . i couldn’t see nor do anything .
    i was hospitalized for six months, one faithful mourning it dawn on me that i needed to try a
    traditional healing spell caster for solution . On that faithful mourning i
    decided to contact seraphintemple@gmail.com
    which i read so many testimony on internet on how he has be so faithful
    and kind to people situation , Miracle babies , Tuberculosis cure ,
    Healed from hemorrhoids , Liver cancer destroyed , Free from fibroid ,
    Hiv/aids cure , With this testimony i was encourage , I make up my mind
    to contact him and I do so, Firstly when DR SERAPHIN speak with me i was
    so encourage , He told me that i should have the believe that my
    problems are solved and also give a procedure which i carefully obey and
    he make a preparation and cast a traditional herbalist spell which i
    use according to his instruction . Here i am , Am free from HIV/AIDS
    daises now i can see clearly , Thanks be to DR SERAPHIN.” via Email seraphintemple@gmail.com OR +2348050354815

    __Mrs Cynthia , O.

  • annonymous

    hello everyone,
    i don’t just know the reason why some people is finding it difficult to believe that there is a cure for HIV, i have been HIV+ since last three years with my girlfriend but today i am happy that i am HIV_ with herbal medicine of Dr Voodoo the great healer,i was browsing the internet searching for help when i came across a testimony shared by someone on how Dr Voodoo cure his HIV i was so much in need of getting his treatment but after all Dr Voodoo brought a smile to my face with his herbal medicine. i am so much happy today that we have someone like this great healer out there, so my people out there kindly contact this great healer on his email address: luckysolutionspell@gmail.com please sir keep your good work cause there are people out there who is in need of your healing medicine.once more contact him now: luckysolutionspell@gmail.com
    Excel

  • ANNONYMMOUS

    hello readers this is a story that you must read, i want to tell the general public about Dr Oko the traditional healer who cure me, i am alive and healthy today because of God and the medicine of Dr Oko, i want to use this medium to thank this great man for healing me from Cancer with his herbal medicine, this man is a really great man infact i am short of words, i want you all to contact this man in any problem you are facing he is ready to help you solve your problem. contact him now: solutionhome@outlook.com
    RICHMOND VICTOR

  • Bruno Rico

    I have been suffering from HIV/AIDS since 9yrs now, and i happen to have 2 kids for my husband, and now we cannot proceed to have another
    kids all because of my disease and now i have do all what a human like i and my husband can do just to get my disease healed, i have went to several places to seek for help not even one person could ever help, until i melt a comment on the daily news paper that was commented by Miss Marilyn about how this powerful traditional doctor help her get cured of the disease (HIV-AIDS) ” my fellow beloved” i firstly taught having a help from a spiritual traditional healer was a wrong idea, but i think of these, will i continue to stress on these disease all day when i have someone to help me save my life?” so i gather all my faiths and put in all interest to contact him through his Email address at eromosalspiritualtemple@gmail.com , so after i have mailed him of helping get my disease cured, i respond to me fast as possible that i should not be afraid, that he is a truthful and powerful doctor which i firstly claimed him to be. So after all set has been done,he promise me that i will be healed but on a condition that i provide him some items and obeyed all his oracle said. I did all by accepting his
    oracle fact and only to see that the following week Dr.Ero me on my mail box that my work is successfully done with his powers, i was firsts hocked and later arise to be the happiest woman on earth after i have concluded my final test on the hospital by my doctor that i am now HIV- Negative. My papers for check are with me and now i am happy and glad for his miraculous help and power. With these i must to everyone who might seek for any help, either for HIV cure or much more to contact him now at these following email now, Email: eromosalspiritualtemple@gmail.com

  • John Park

    I want to share this testimony to every one on this site. Am Rose Ricado
    this is how i was helped and cured with hiv and cancer by this great
    man of spirit called Dralabokun. One day i was reading a blog when i
    come across a short comment saying about how this man cured him from hiv
    positive to negative with this, i found his email dralabokun@gmail.com
    and his number then i quickly called him for a help to cure me from hiv
    also i was scared of calling him because i read that he is a spiritual
    man and i have never done this before so he told me not to be scared
    then i obey him. Also, i was so happy of what i read from a blog site on
    how am going to be cured with this, i make all the requirement done by
    me now am so happy with hiv negative not longer positive also with the
    cancer that was in me was gone and to be truthful, i don’t no how the
    cancer left my body so if you are in such pain please i advice you to
    contact this man for a help via email dralabokun@gmail.com or call him +2348071145063

    he will help you for good and have a happy life with your family

  • Joy Nelly

    if you have had surgery in the past,a blood transfusion, a termination of
    pregnacy(abortion), shared a toothbrush or sharps with an infected person,
    those are ways of contacting HIV besides sexual intercourse. I advice you
    enroll into a HIV facility, there are lots in government hospitals, have a
    volunteer counselling and testing and if positive, commence treatment and
    followup. It is also possible for someone who passed it to you to now be
    negative especially if the person is on anti retroviral treatment. After
    some time on treatment, the viral load becomes undetectable and screening
    test results appear as negative. Also, you can marry a negative partner and
    have hiv negative children with him. All the best to you as you make the
    right decision
    DR.OKOJESPELLHOME@OUTLOOK.COM
    . +2348069652500

  • Joy Nelly

    Glory Be To The Lord Almighty
    join me to thank this man worthy to be called my great and powerful father called Dr okoje Last time i met a comment online against the great and powerful work Dr okoje has done with her HIV/AIDS ailment.
    Firstly:
    i will thank Mrs Bernille for letting the world knows the powerful man that help her from AIDS disease. This was what i have all my life been waiting for since i was infected by HIV last 6 months. I always spend money for drugs always but still yet my weight becomes poorer and my joint always getting painful and inching all day. But when i met this comment last 3 days, i quickly contacted Dr okoje the Traditional helper. He is from the western part of Africa, i didn’t spend much as i spent for drugs each day, and i for the fact truly reason this because my life was already as take by this disease called AIDS. Truly, when it was 9 o’clock on Monday this week he called me that his oracle urgently required some few life items to enable the disease wipe out successfully, then i was asked to send down 200usd ($). Which i did. He truly bought the items and surprisingly, yesterday afternoon Dr okoje called me that my work has been finally done and it work out well. I was glad and he told me to rush down to my hospital for checkup. Which i really did, my brothers and sisters i went down crying because no one has ever done this to a person in life. Dr okoje truly healed me. I was crying it was a dream to my eyes when the doctor said to me that I am HIV NEGATIVE. I am now a free born in life, am now like other people who now think things like human. For these days and forever, i will accept Dr okoje as my father and my healer and helper. He is a great man. Thank you sir. I know i cant reward you. But my God in heaven can. Thank you sir once again.
    Regards.
    Email him now for your problem solve at:
    ( DROKOJE@GMAIL.COM OR +2348069652500
    DR.OKOJESPELLHOME@OUTLOOK.COM )

  • Vivie Loxton

    What a great man, a great thanks to DR.ABEGBE the man that bring me out of this sorrow this is the man that can as well help the world, on this diseases I can remember 5 year ago when I was searching for cure, and how I have spent much money and I finally lost hope due to my conduction I have to put my hope on god, lucky to me last week here I was on the internet, check on how many year I can spent on earth them I see a comment about this great man DR.ABEGBE what a lucky day for me and today am giving my testimony about him I have never believe there is cure at all, but this man just want me to give him a try, if he cannot do it I will know his is not DR.ABEGBE that he have been doing this cure for more than many year now I put my hope on him and also my dear god but today am very happy to give this story to you all, it all happen when I was 23 year well because of this disease I can get married and very happy today am now negative I can get married now to my follow people that is on my shoes this the good way to say bye to this diseases HIV/AIDS contact this man now DR.ABEGBESPELLHOME@HOTMAIL.COM DR.ABEGBESPELLHOME@GMAIL.COM +2348113017989

  • Vivie Loxton

    Good day to you all am very happy to write this testimony to the whole world to see the great work of the great man named DR.ABEGBE I was down over since 4year but thank god am here to give this testimony for you all to see the great powers that is hiding on this earth I was once an HIV positive but thanks to him that help me I was going through internet looking for cure when I see this man name ABEGBE I quickly email him If I can get help to grateful surprise to me he really do according to the post I see on internet this man ask me to provide some necessary things which he should be able to use for my cure, I did what he say and after everything, this man told me that 45mins I will be cured, that his cure will take 45mins, after 45mins as he say I should go for test I did and I was very happy when I see my result but i don’t know how he did it but thank god for bring this man to me am very happy to see myself am HIV negative you can as will get your cure on yourself email:DR.ABEGBESPELLHOME@GMAIL.COM OR DR.ABEGBESPELLHOME@HOTMAIL.COM just call him for quick answer on his number +2348113017989

  • Faith

    Hello
    My name is paul wayne from England, i am 32 years old and i
    sincerly want to thank a great spell caster called dr wisdom who helped me
    to
    bring back my wife after she had left me and my kids for good two years and
    six months.
    through out that year and six months i and my two kids called kate and
    wilson were in great suffering until one day i came in contact with this
    powerful great spell caster who decided to wipe out tears away from eyes.
    According to my problem He decided to perform a spell service
    immediately and all other necessary things that has to be done an after the
    spell had been done He told me to wait for just 40 hours that the spell
    will start to take effect and so i believed and i waited for the time he
    had said.
    To my greatest surprise , exactly the 40 hours that he had said i
    recieved a call and when i picked the call it was my wife pleading and also
    asking for forgiveness, at first i was amazed but later i came back to my
    mood and i decided to hang on the phone on her but when i terminated the
    call she keep on calling an i decided to switch off the phone.
    To my greatest surprise around 6:30am in the morning i heard my door
    bell ringing and i decided to open the door , to my surprise i saw my wife
    kneeling and begging me to forgive so i decided to forgive her and i
    ordered her up an i embrace her. This was how i got my wife back with the
    help of the great dr wisdom
    viewers willing to contact him or anyone with the same problem or any
    kind of problem should simply contact him on this email
    wisdomspiritualtemple@gmail.com contact him at anytime and he is ready
    to help>>>>> HE IS A MAN TO BE TRUSTED>>>> once again THANK YOU THE GREAT
    DR wisdom lets beware of scammers and share experience, suggestion and
    solutions..thanks

  • John M Holt

    Dr Oduma is the only Dr who could ever get my HIV-AIDS cured with his healing spell, i have tried almost everything but i couldn’t find any solution on my disease, despite all these happening to me, i always spend a lot to buy HIV drugs from hospital and taking some several medications but no relieve, until one day i was just browsing on the internet when i come across a great post of !Nicole! who truly said that she was been diagnose with HIV and was healed that very week through the help of these great powerful healing spell doctor, sometime i really wonder why people called him Papa Oduma, i never knew it was all because of the great and perfect work that he has been doing that is causing all this. so i quickly contacted him, and he ask me some few questions and he said a thing i will never forget that anyone who contacted him is ! always getting his or her healing in just 6 hours after doing all he ask you, so i was amazed all the time i heard that from him, so i did all things only to see that at the very day which he said i will be healed, all the strength that has left me before rush back and i becomes very strong and healthy, this disease almost kills my life all because of me, so i will to hospital to give the final test to the disease and the doctor said i am HIV negative, i am very amazed and happy about the healing Dr Oduma gave to me from the help of his ancient herbs if you have any question for me concerning all i have said email me at:(holt06079@gmail.com) But if you feel like contacting Dr Oduma at once you can email him now for your own healing too at: (odumaspiratualtemplehouse@gmail.com) or call his phone number which is +2347055413648 for direct contact good luck i am john holt…

  • benita moyes

    BEWARE OF SCAMS!!! DR MALAIKA ODOGWU IS THE ONLY SPELL CASTER TO TRUST! ( odogwumalaika@gmail.com ) will be of great help to you.
    I never believed in spell casting but After 4 years of dating my hobby, he left me because I lost my womb . I felt like my life was
    about to end I almost committed suicide, i was emotionally down for a very long time. Thanks to the spell caster called Dr malaika
    whom i met online after my friend Tracy told me how he has helped her. She testified about how Dr Malaika brought back her Ex lover
    in less than 3 days and reversed the effect of her lost womb, and at the end of her testimony she dropped Dr Malaika’s email address.
    After reading all these,I decided to give Dr malaika a try. I contacted him via email and explained my problems to him. In just 3 days,
    my Hubby came begging. We resolved our issues, and we are even happier than before, am pregnant now to God be the glory.
    Dr Malaika is really a gifted man and i will not stop publishing him because he is a wonderful man… Come to think of it
    I didn’t pay much and all I have to do is send him little 250 dollars which he used in providing the materials used for the spell.
    Even my pastor said that God works mysteriously, that some men are used by God to help others. If you have a problem and you are looking
    for a real and genuine spell caster to solve all your problems for you. Contact Dr malaika anytime,
    he is the answer to your problems. Here’s his contact odogwumalaika@gmail.com

  • marian duss

    HI My Name is MARIAN DUSS, I wish to share my testimonies with the general public about what this man called Dr lawcy of( drlawcyspellhome@gmail.com ] has just done for me , this man has just did what I thought nobody will ever do for me, i was HIV positive when one of my family friend introduce this man to me, I never believed that great DR LAWCY could do this, when I contacted him on this same issue on ground, he casted some spell for me and gave me some parcel to drink, now I am so happy to say that the virus I was having In my body have left me. All thanks to DR LAWCY If you are out there passing through this same kind of problems you can contact him today on his mail ( drlawcyspellhome@gmail.com. )
    and he will also help you as well with his great spell caster, THANKS BE TO DR LAWCY……………………….

  • ande12

    Hello,
    I was diagnosed of this HIV deadly disease a friend of mine introduce Dr fadeyi to me and I actually did contact him after he has prepare what he said he will do and he sent it to me and I used it according to his prescription after one week I went to the hospital to check my status again because I was feeling differently from the way I used when I was tested POSITIVE to my greatest surprise the status was NEGATIVE the medical doctors there was surprise and I have to tell the whole world about this if you are still having this similar problem I recommend you to Dr Fadeyi for you here is his email address: doctorfadeyitempleofspell@gmail.com you can call him any time on +2348109468820

    ANDERSON MORRISON,,,,,,,,……

  • Brown Mark

    My name is Brown Mark and am from USA,let me share this testimony to the world to hear about him too this man really exit I was HIV positive over 6year I have being in medication and I try to look for cure to my problem and I go through internet doctor and I found a tradition named DR. CAFAI i contacted cafaispiritualtemple@yahoo.com for help he give me all his laws and rule that if I get cured I should write about him and that is what am doing now, this man ask for some information about me, which I give him this man cure me from HIV what a great man thank for your help when he get the information he told me that he is about to work on it 20 to 30 minute this man email me and told me what to do for the curing which I did after all the things needed for the cure is provide the man call me in 45mins later and tell me to go for test what a great day to me I was negative thanks Dr CAFAi you can through his email address,cafaispiritualtemple@yahoo.com or his phone number +234 7067607073

  • anonymous351

    DR OKO solutionhome@outlook.com is the only Dr who could ever get my HIV-AIDS cured with his healing spell, i have tried almost everything but i couldn’t find any solution on my disease, despite all these happening to me, i always spend alot to buy a HIV drugs from hospital and taking some several medications but no relieve, until one day i was just browsing on the internet when i come across a great post of !Michelle! who truly said that she was been diagnose with HIV and was healed that very week through the help of these great powerful healing spell doctor, sometime i really wonder why people called him Dr OKO, i never knew it was all because of the great and perfect work that he has been doing that is causing all this. so i quickly contacted him THROUGH HIS EMAIL ADDRESS(solutionhome@outlook.com), and he ask me some few questions and he said a thing i will never forget that anyone who contacted him is ! always getting his or her healing in just 6 hours after doing all he ask you, so i was amazed all the time i heard that from him, so i did all things only to see that at the very day which he said i will be healed, all the strength that has left me before rush back and i becomes very strong and healthy, this disease almost kills my life all because of me, so i went to hospital to give the final test to the disease and the doctor said i am HIV negative, i am very amazed and happy about the healing DR OKO gave to me from the ancient part of his temple, you can email him now for your own healing too at: solutionhome@outlook.com
    WILSON

  • Kelly Paul

    I am here to give my testimony about a doctor who help me in my life. I was infected with HIV virus in the 2010, i went to many hospitals, churches for cure but there was no solution out, so I was thinking how can I get a solution out so that i cannot loose my life, I lost everything I have my husband run away from me and also took my children along because of my sickness. One day I was in the river side thinking the next step to take if it is to jump into the river so that I can loose my life totally or just think where I can go to get solution. so a lady walk to me telling me why am I so sad and i open up all to him telling her my stories, she told me that she can help me out that’s the reason she normally come here to help people so that thy can be cured because she was into this problem before, she introduce me to a doctor who uses herbal medication to cure HIV and gave me his email, so i email him. He told me all the things I need to do and also give me instructions to take, which I followed properly. Before I knew what is happening after two weeks i went to the hospital for HIV test and the result was NEGATIVE. so if you are also heart broken and also need a help, you can also email him at ogboduherbalhivcure@gmail.com

  • Kelly Paul

    .I am here to give my testimony about a doctor who help me in my life. I was infected with HIV virus in the 2010, i went to many hospitals, churches for cure but there was no solution out, so I was thinking how can I get a solution out so that i cannot loose my life, I lost everything I have my husband run away from me and also took my children along because of my sickness. One day I was in the river side thinking the next step to take if it is to jump into the river so that I can loose my life totally or just think where I can go to get solution. so a lady walk to me telling me why am I so sad and i open up all to him telling her my stories, she told me that she can help me out that’s the reason she normally come here to help people so that thy can be cured because she was into this problem before, she introduce me to a doctor who uses herbal medication to cure HIV and gave me his email, so i email him. He told me all the things I need to do and also give me instructions to take, which I followed properly. Before I knew what is happening after two weeks i went to the hospital for HIV test and the result was NEGATIVE. so if you are also heart broken and also need a help, you can also email him at ogboduherbalhivcure@gmail.com

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